Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 271334
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
934 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.UPDATE...
Easterly steering flow off the Atlantic in place with still a
mainly dry airmass aloft with PWAT`s still less than an inch. The
onshore flow will become breezy at the coast with 15-20g25 mph
winds expected and lesser 10-15g20 mph winds expected inland. Low
level moisture increase will support plenty of fair weather
cumulus and partly sunny skies this afternoon but still expecting
temps to reach into the upper 80s/near 90 over inland areas while
the onshore flow will keep it in the lower/middle 80s along the
coast. This pattern will always support a few isolated light
showers over the coastal waters but these will tend to weaken by
the time they reach the coast with really only a sprinkle possible
at times and will keep rain chances at 10% or less for now. The
HRRR model does suggest a few light showers possibly developing on
the Atlc Coast sea breeze over inland North FL across Marion,
Alachua and Putnam counties areas but still do not expect coverage
to exceed 10% at this time. For Tonight...steering flow becomes a
bit more NELY with a few more showers and isolated storms possible
over the coastal waters...and slightly better chances of a few
showers making a run at the coast towards morning...but overall
expect more 20-25% coverage of showers in the morning along the
coastal areas. Temps will fall once again down into the 60s inland
and in the lower 70s along the coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals through 00Z.
Periods of MVFR ceilings will be possible at SGJ and SSI after
00z. Easterly surface winds will increase after 13Z, with speeds
approaching 15 knots after 15Z, with frequent gusts near 20 knots
possible at the coastal terminals through sunset. Isolated showers
could impact the coastal terminals after 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
East winds around 15 knots with seas building into the 3-5 ft
range today but remaining below SCEC levels for now. Winds
becoming Northeast later tonight and possibly increasing to 15-20
knots with seas building into the 4-6 ft range at least on
saturday but all will depend on developing low pressure offshore
over the weekend.

RIP CURRENTS: At least Moderate risk expected today and Saturday
in the onshore flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  90  62  89  67 /   0   0  20  10
SSI  82  71  82  69 /  10  20  30  10
JAX  86  66  86  69 /  10  10  30  10
SGJ  84  71  84  69 /  10  10  30  10
GNV  89  64  91  67 /   0   0  20  20
OCF  90  65  91  68 /  10  10  30  20

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Hess/Walker



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