Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 250509
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1208 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES AND EXCELLENT VSBYS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

SYNOPSIS...

CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU IN TENNESSEE SOUTHWESTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS. VERY LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF CLOUDINESS WITHIN 300 MILES OF NEW ORLEANS THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 40S.

SHORT TERM...

SHORTWAVE PASSING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND BE CENTERED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
INTO THE WESTERN GULF BY MONDAY. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
MOISTURE EXPECTED IN THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. TONIGHT WILL BE COOL
AGAIN WITH READINGS CLOSE TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED THIS MORNING...THEN
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH 3-4 DEGREES OF
WARMING EACH DAY. 35

LONG TERM...

UPPER TROFS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LIMITED...AND
CANNOT SEE MUCH MORE THAN 20-30 POPS DURING THE MIDDLE AND END OF
THE WORK WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME COOLING AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF THE TROF/FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WILL NOTE
THAT MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT COOLING BEHIND THE
FRIDAY FRONT. SOME INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES MAY HAVE TROUBLE
MAKING IT MUCH PAST LOWER 70S NEXT SATURDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AND CURRENT FORECAST MAX FOR NEXT SATURDAY MAY NEED TO BE
LOWERED CONSIDERABLY. 35

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FCST AND NO ISSUES ARE
ANTICIPATED. /CAB/

MARINE...

OVERALL THINGS SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET FOR THE MARINE ZONES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GULF SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK. WINDS NEAR 10 KTS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY REMAIN
AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS TOMORROW NIGHT AND THROUGH SAT. THE CTR OF
THE HIGH WILL SLIDE TWRD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SUN/MON LEADING
TO ONSHORE FLOW RETURNING MON. /CAB/

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  54  84  58  82 /   0   0  10   0
BTR  54  86  59  84 /   0   0   0  10
ASD  54  84  60  82 /   0   0  10  10
MSY  60  83  64  83 /   0   0  10  10
GPT  57  83  62  80 /   0   0  10  10
PQL  53  83  59  81 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







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