Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
FXUS65 KLKN 282136
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
236 PM PDT Tue Mar 28 2017
.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will bring dry weather through Wednesday
before a strong storm system begins to spread rain across the area
Wednesday night and Thursday. Snow levels will drop to valley floors
behind the cold front Thursday afternoon and evening. Strong gusty
winds will accompany the cold front Thursday.
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday. Ridge of high pressure will
begin to move off to the east on Wednesday as a strong storm
system approaches the region. Could see some isolated rain showers
Wednesday afternoon across northwest Humboldt county. Rain will
spread across the rest of northern NV Wednesday night and into
central NV on Thursday. A strong cold front will traverse the
area Thursday accompanied by strong gusty winds. Have issued a
High Wind Watch for northern Nye county and Wind Advisories
elsewhere from late Thursday morning into Thursday evening.
Expecting northwest winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph
across northern Nye county and 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph
across the rest of the area. Snow levels will fall to the valley
floors behind the cold front. Models are now moving this system
through the area faster than previous runs so snow totals will be
lower than previously thought. The highest snow totals will be
across northern Elko county and far eastern White Pine county
where 2 to 5 inches are possible in the valleys from Thursday
night through Friday. Winter Weather Advisories might be needed
down the road for these areas if later models continue to show
these snow amounts.
.LONG TERM...Friday night through next Tuesday. The weather
pattern turns relatively quiet compared to weeks past as a
stronger ridge establishes itself for the weekend with just a weak
front and trough possibly skirting across northern Nevada.
The system that moves in for Thursday will fully exit the area by
Friday night. Conditions then improve markedly for Saturday with
ridge building back across the western U.S.
A weak front looks to pass through Sunday afternoon, mostly
northern Nevada, with some clouds and showers. A second
trough/front could move through for Monday, but at this time also
Temperatures will return into the 50s and 60s once again for the
weekend where snow cover is minimal.
.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday. KELY AMD
NOT SKED ufn due to missing visibility. Gusty northwest winds
will persist at KTPH up to 30 kt and at KELY with gusts to 25 kt
for the next few hours. After sunset, expect gusts to quickly
.HYDROLOGY...Flooding remains a concern across the reigon this
afternoon. Many streams/rivers remain high with swift flows.
Multiple rivers/creeks also remain above flood stage.
The next storm system for Thursday through Friday night will bring
widespread significant valley and mtn precipitation. Many valley
locations will see 0.3" to 0.6" of liquid, some in the form of
snow. Places in Elko and White Pine Counties could see locally
more. The mountains will also see significant precipitaton,
mainly in the form of snow.
Due to the significant forecast precipitation, water levels will
likely fluctuate and some locations could see additional rises.
Please pay close attention to upcoming forecasts.
Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM PDT Thursday for Northern Elko
County-Ruby Mountains/East Humboldt Range-South Central Elko
County-Southeastern Elko County-Southern Lander County and
Southern Eureka County-Southwestern Elko County-White Pine
Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM PDT Thursday for Humboldt
County-Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka County.
High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening
for Northeastern Nye County-Northwestern Nye County.