Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 271126
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
326 AM PST FRI FEB 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A STORM WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS AND LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY AND
SATURDAY. HEAVIER SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA LATE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER AND A CLEARING SKY RETURN
TO NORTHERN NEVADA ON SUNDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER TROUGH DROPPING IN FROM
THE NORTH WILL SPREAD SNOW SHOWERS INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TODAY. AS THE UPPER TROUGH SETTLES IN OVER THE REGION
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL MOSTLY BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH MINIMAL
IMPACTS TO TRAVEL. THE ONLY EXCEPTION MIGHT BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NV LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WHERE GFS/NAM
MODELS INDICATE A HEAVIER SNOW BAND WILL SET UP WITH 2-4 INCHES
OF SNOW POSSIBLE. HOWEVER THE ECMWF MODEL NOT AS AGGRESSIVE
INDICATING ONLY 1 TO 2 INCHES. WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS FOR
POSSIBLE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AS SNOW WILL STICK TO ROADS
DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA SUNDAY MORNING AS UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY SINKS SOUTH.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. SNOW SHOWERS
TAPERING OFF ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT AS
POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH AXIS PUSHES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN. DIVERGING NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER NEVADA MONDAY WITH LIGHT
SHOWER ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. COLD NORTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...WITH SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING IN ALONG THE WEST COAST
NEXT WEDNESDAY WITH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS MID TO LATE NEXT
WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...CLOUDY TODAY WITH SHOWERS SPREADING INTO NEVADA FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. KWMC AND KTPH MAY SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
TODAY...WITH SHOWERS AT KEKO AND KELY EXPECTED TO ONLY SNOW.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/96


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