Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 282202

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
302 PM PDT Sun Aug 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm through mid week. A little windy starting
Tuesday and then into Wednesday. A cooling trend starts about mid
week and continues into the weekend. Spotty thunderstorms will
each some afternoons, but mainly over eastern Nevada.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday. Models flip flopping on
location and timing of trough axis approaching coast and
attendant surface pressure gradient. Hence, a little up in the
air, ahem, with winds on Tuesday. Bottom line, warm and dry into
Tuesday. Beginning Tuesday, surface gradient tightens and winds
pick up.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday night through Sunday. Strong upper low will be
moving onto the Pacific Northwest coast to begin the period. This
low will slowly progress inland over the Pacific Northwest through
Friday. It begins to exit on Friday but is replaced by a secondary
upper low over the weekend. The main sensible weather effects for
northern and central NV will be a cooling trend through the period
with breezy southwest winds each afternoon. Highs on Wednesday
will be generally in the mid 80s to the lower 90s cooling mostly
into the 70s by next Sunday. The upper low will also draw up some
moisture from the south Wednesday and Thursday which will brush
far eastern NV for the possibility of isolated thunderstorms.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions next 24 hours.


.FIRE WEATHER...Warm and dry through the forecast period. The
weather models are flip flopping every six hours on the timing of
a large upper level storm system. Currently, they have it
approaching western Nevada Tuesday, which will tighten up the
winds Tuesday afternoon. Do not, at this time, believe RFW`s or
watches are warranted for Tuesday. Will watch and participate in
coordination calls. However, it will be more gusty than of late
with low min RH`s. Breeziest areas will be west of a line from
around Owyhee to Elko to Ely to Tonopah. All areas Tuesday
afternoon will be in the single digit RH`s to low doubles. Outlook
for Wednesday: quite breezy and dry with very isolated dry storms.
Most winds and RH will be over zones 468...469...454...455...and
457. Most isolated dry storms will be over northeast Nevada.
Approximately same situation Thursday, but a few storms over 455.




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