Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 292319
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
353 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S MONDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH SOME RECORD HIGHS
LIKELY TO BE TIED OR BROKEN. A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL BRING
MUCH COOLER AIR TO THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. THESE SYSTEMS WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY TO NORTHERN NEVADA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW CLOUDS BUILDING UP
ACROSS CENTRAL NV THIS AFTERNOON BUT LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO TRIGGER ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S ACROSS
MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SOME RECORD
HIGHS LIKELY TO BE TIED OR BROKEN. SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON TUE WILL BRUSH NORTHERN NV WITH POSSIBILITY A
FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE OREGON/IDAHO BORDER. MAIN EFFECT FROM THIS
SHORT WAVE WILL BE BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA,
WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS NORTHEAST NV. SOME GUSTS OVER 45
MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND SUMMITS OF NORTHEAST NV
BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF A WIND
ADVISORY. COLDER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAG HIGH
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO 5-8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE NORTH AND
NEAR NORMAL IN CENTRAL NV ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. TROUGH SWINGING
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY DOES NOT LOOK AS
ROBUST AS PREVIOUSLY ESPECIALLY ON THE ECMWF...NUDGED POPS DOWN A
BIT COMPARED TO EARLIER BUT STILL HAVE CHANCE IN MANY AREAS. SNOW
LEVELS STILL LOOK BELOW MOST VALLEY FLOORS SO STILL HAVE MAINLY
SNOW SHOWERS...THOUGH ACCUMULATION DURING DAYTIME LOOKS DOUBTFUL.
HIGHS SHOULD FEEL VERY COLD COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS BUT
REALISTICALLY NOT TOO HORRIBLE FOR EARLY APRIL...MAYBE 10 BELOW
NORMAL.

RATHER FLAT SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WITH
MILDER TEMPS AND NO CHANCE OF PRECIP. RIDGE STARTS TO DIG OFF THE
WEST COAST SATURDAY WITH WINDS ALOFT TURNING MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY...STILL SHOULD BE DRY. SUNDAY WE MAY START TO GET
SOME SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE AREA AS THAT TROUGH TRIES TO COME
ASHORE BUT MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF THIS SO ITS POSSIBLE
SUNDAY STAYS DRY TOO. RCM

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CIGS AND VIS ALL TERMINALS WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT
WINDS (MAINLY LESS THAN 20 KNOTS) THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CHANCE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS NEAR KELY HAS DIMINISHED. RCM

&&

.CLIMATE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA ON MONDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK INTO
THE 70S DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE
RECORDS BEING BROKEN.

            RECORD   FORECAST
AIRPORT     MONDAY    MONDAY

ELKO        76/1966     75
ELY         72/1966     74
EUREKA      73/1968     77
TONOPAH     77/1966     77
WINNEMUCCA  79/1966     74

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

91/93/93/93


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