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000
FXUS62 KTBW 180118
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
918 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

.UPDATE...
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA BROUGHT AN
ACCELERATED SEA BREEZE IN NORTH OF TAMPA BAY...WHERE THE BEST
CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED INLAND FROM NEAR
ZEPHYRHILLS...NORTHEAST TO DAYTONA BEACH AND IS SLOWLY
WITHDRAWING OUT OF THE AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN
INLAND SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. THE POP GRIDS FOR TONIGHT WERE REDRAWN
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT THE CURRENT POSITION OF SHOWERS ON RADAR.
PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE INLAND TONIGHT OVER ALREADY WET
GROUND...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

OTHER THAN POPS TONIGHT...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EVENING FORECAST
UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION HAS MOVED INLAND THIS EVENING AND EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVERNIGHT. COULD SEE SOME AREAS OF MVFR
CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS
TUESDAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE
MAINLY OVER INLAND AREAS AND COULD EFFECT LAL...PGD...FMY AND RSW.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS ARE CAUSING SEAS OF A FOOT OR LESS. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  93  77  92 /  10  20  10  20
FMY  76  93  76  93 /  20  40  20  40
GIF  74  94  74  93 /  40  40  20  40
SRQ  75  90  76  90 /  20  20  10  20
BKV  70  93  72  92 /  10  20  10  20
SPG  79  91  80  90 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE...FLEMING
AVIATION...CLOSE