Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FNUS75 KGJT 200346
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Stage Stop/Murdie...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
846 PM MST Sun Nov 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mid and high clouds will increase throughout the day
on Monday ahead of a weak disturbance set to move through
northwest Colorado Monday evening into Tuesday morning. This
disturbance will bring stronger upper level winds, resulting in
windy conditions Monday afternoon and evening and excellent smoke
dispersal. As far as moisture is concerned, not much precipitation
is expected over the burn site with a dusting of snow at best.
Near an inch or less of snow is possible among the higher peaks to
the north. Drier weather returns Tuesday afternoon with lighter
winds, but still enough upper level flow to give very good smoke
dispersal.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (50-60%).
Max temperature.....38-43 F.
Min humidity........21-26%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 MPH with gusts 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good by 1000, increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL by 1000, increasing to 4800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 25 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (50-60%). Isolated snow showers after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....21-26 F.
Max humidity........78-83%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 MPH with gusts up to
                    25 mph, diminishing to 5 MPH after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17000-35000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL or less after 1700.
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%).
Max temperature.....39-44 F.
Min humidity........41-46%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL by 1000, increasing to 4700 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and early afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Pat Medina
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719007.0/GJT
.EMAIL patandmarnie@msn.com



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.