Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 222151
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Sundance Pile RX...Southern Ute Agency
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
351 PM MDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A storm system will move through southern Colorado from Wednesday
evening through Thursday evening. Mostly cloudy skies will become
overcast tonight with showers developing in the early morning hours
Thursday. Winds will remain light out of the south to southwest,
increasing during the day. A few isolated thunderstorms may accompany
a cold front that will pass during the early afternoon hours Thursday.
There may be a few wind gusts 20-30 mph near any storms that form.
Smoke dispersal conditions should be good during the afternoon owing
to breezy conditions before and during the front passage.

Precipitation should decrease in coverage on Thursday evening with
winds shifting out of the northwest. Friday will be dry with good
burning conditions and high mixing heights due to a mostly sunny
afternoon.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90%). Scattered showers in the
                    morning, then numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....49-54 F.
Min humidity........38-43%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 MPH, becoming southwest 15-20 MPH
                    with gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, increasing to good in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Scattered showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    scattered snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....27-32 F.
Max humidity........74-79%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 MPH, diminishing to 5 MPH after
                    midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30%).
Max temperature.....56-61 F.
Min humidity........21-26%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13000 knot-ft), increasing to good in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL, increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Mike Charnick
Requested by...Howard Richards
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704818.1/GJT


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