Tropical Weather Discussion
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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202120
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON OCT 20 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N87W 1009
MB TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N102W 1008 MB TO 11N109W TO 10N135W. ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-88W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W-97W.

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH DYING COLD FRONT FROM 30N126W TO
22N131W TO 20N140W IS SWEEPING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA WITH MAX SEAS TO 15-16 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 131W AND 139W.
SEA HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT THROUGH WED AS SWELL
MOVES FURTHER SE AWAY FROM ITS SOURCE...COVERING AN AREA N OF A
LINE FROM 20N110W TO 09N124W TO 10N140W BY WED AFTERNOON WITH
MAX SEAS TO 11 FT IN NE PORTION N OF 29N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

ANOTHER WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FAR NW PART WED NIGHT...
FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE REGION N OF 30N THEN PUSH S INTO NORTHERN
WATERS FRI WITH A SURGE OF REINFORCING COLD AIR.

OTHERWISE VERY LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO MARINE INTERESTS IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS A
RELATIVELY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$
MUNDELL



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