Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FXAK69 PAFG 242309
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
309 PM AKDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 60 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL LOW
SOMEWHERE NEAR THE BERING STRAIT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT WESTWARD
AND WEAKEN AND THEN EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY LATE SAT IN THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA.

THE NAM DOES KEEP AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH
EARLY SAT MORNING AND THAT MIGHT NOT BE TOO FAR OUT OF LINE.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EASTWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK BY EARLY SATURDAY.

NUMEROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVING NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHEAST ALASKA
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPLY MOISTURE TO THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR THROUGH SAT. THIS WILL BE THE IMPETUS FOR THE SHOWERS.

EXTENSIVE FOG ON THE ARCTIC COAST WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH FRI
MORNING GIVEN NO DYNAMIC CHANGE. THE NAM HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY
SUGGESTING BRISK WINDS IN ZONE 245 FOR THE PAST WEEK AND NOTHING
HAS MATERIALIZED...THEREFORE NO ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WINDS
IN ZONE 245.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AS FORECASTED...MOISTURE HAS WORKED ITS WAY INTO THE EASTERN
INTERIOR AND THE RH VALUES HAVE DEFINITELY INCREASED. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SAT.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

CF APR 14



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