Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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190
FXUS64 KJAN 092111
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
311 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DEEP UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS IS ALLOWING COLD FRONTS TO SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS ARKLAMISS
WITH ANOTHER FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS
ARE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM.
THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS THE SURFACE
GRADIENT WEAKENS...BECOMING MAINLY LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM
NEAR 20 IN THE EAST TO THE UPPER 20S IN THE WEST. CLEAR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS FROM A HIGH CENTERED
OVER THE GULF MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE SURFACE FLOW WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER OVERNIGHT LOWS.

A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER NORTH TEXAS ON THURSDAY AND THIS WILL
STRENGTHEN OUR SOUTHERLY FLOW...THUS WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW 70S IN THE
SOUTH...BUT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE NORTH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER ALONG THE HIGHWAY 82
CORRIDOR. /15/

.LONG TERM...THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST FORTUNATELY
CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER SUBDUED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE PERIOD. A
COUPLE OF REINFORCING DRY COLD FRONTS WILL DROP SOUTH INTO AND
THROUGH THE CWA DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY THURSDAY...AND AGAIN
THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. AGAIN NO RAIN IS CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED WITH
THESE FRONTAL PASSAGES. HOWEVER...AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTS...AND INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT...ARE EXPECTED.

YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO AND THROUGH THE REGION LATE IN
THE FORECAST PERIOD.  INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT...WILL AID IN INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WITH THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES CURRENTLY
LOOKING TO FALL ON MONDAY.  RAIN CHANCES COME TO AN END BEHIND THE
FRONT BY MONDAY EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. /19/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
GUSTY NW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON (WITH GUSTS OVER 30 KT POSSIBLE) WILL
SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET. NW GUSTS OF 15-20 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
EAST MS ON WEDNESDAY. /DL/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       48  26  51  36 /   1   3   0   0
MERIDIAN      46  22  50  29 /   2   3   0   5
VICKSBURG     50  28  53  41 /   1   3   0   0
HATTIESBURG   51  27  53  33 /   3   3   0   4
NATCHEZ       52  29  54  42 /   1   3   0   0
GREENVILLE    47  27  49  36 /   2   3   0   0
GREENWOOD     45  23  47  33 /   4   3   0   1

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-
     072>074.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

$$

15/DL/



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