Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KJAX 280717
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
217 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014


.SHORT TERM...INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH WEAKENING OFF THE COAST AS
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. AFTER MORNING
PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS SKIES SHOULD BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80 WITH LIGHT SW WINDS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER
50S/LOWER 60S WITH AREAS OF FOG AGAIN. ON MONDAY COLD FRONT WILL
DRIFT SE INTO SE GA BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLY
ISOLATED THUNDER. POPS ACROSS OUR AREA WILL RANGE FROM 20 PERCENT
SE TO 50 PERCENT NW.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SE GA
IN THE EVENING...MOVING ACROSS NE FL OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY...EXITING
TO THE SE TUESDAY AFTN. WITH THE MID LEVEL FORCING STRETCHING
OUT...WILL CAP POPS AT MID END CHANCE. WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY...
WILL INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A TSTM MONDAY EVENING. DO NOT
EXPECT ANY STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS. PRECIP WILL END AREA WIDE BY
TUESDAY EVENING...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS MAY BE
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AS A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH COULD PRODUCE A
COUPLE OF SHOWERS. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT WILL
TRANSITION CLOSER TO NORMAL TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO NUDGE
SOUTH FOR DRY CONDITIONS INLAND. A COUPLE OF SHOWERS COULD AFFECT THE
IMMEDIATE COAST UNDER NE FLOW AND A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH. SEASONABLY
COOL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY...THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST. WEAK WAVES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ALONG WITH A MORE
MOIST SE FLOW COULD RESULT IN SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WILL KEEP
POPS SLIGHT CHANCE AREA WIDE FRIDAY...WITH LOW END CHANCE POPS
SATURDAY ACROSS SE GA AS THE BOUNDARY APPROACHES. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM TO NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MORNING FOG WILL BE PATCHY DUE TO HIGH CLOUDS AND
STRATOCUMULUS ADVECTING OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT MOSTLY VFR
AND MVFR TO PREVAIL WITH TEMPO IFR CONDTIONS DUE TO FOG/LOW CLOUDS
TIL 15Z. EXPECT MVFR CIGS 15Z-18Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS THEREAFTER.

&&

.MARINE...NE WINDS ARE DECREASING OVER THE WATERS AS INVERTED TROUGH
WEAKENS. WINDS WILL BECOME SW BY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WATERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY DUE TO LONG PERIOD EASTERLY SWELLS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...MINOR FLOODING IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE SATILLA
RIVER AT WAYCROSS AND ATKINSON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  76  60  72  55 /  10  20  50  40
SSI  68  58  67  58 /  10  10  40  40
JAX  78  62  75  61 /  10  10  30  30
SGJ  74  61  73  61 /  10  10  20  20
GNV  79  62  77  61 /  10  20  20  30
OCF  80  62  78  62 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ZIBURA/ALLEN/






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.