Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 281352
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
952 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

...High Rip Current Risk Through Monday...

.UPDATE...
No changes to ongoing forecast as E/NE steering flow off the
Atlantic will continue to bring isolated to scattered showers at
times to the coast which will spread inland through the afternoon
with enough heating to trigger a few isolated thunderstorms. E/NE
flow will be breezy along the coast at 15-20g25 mph with gusts
around 30 mph possible at times in shower activity, lesser winds
expected as you push inland. Still plenty of insolation to push
max temps into the lower to middle 90s inland with heat indices
into the 100-105 range, while the breezy coast will top out in
the upper 80s/near 90. Repeat conditions expected again for
tonight with fair skies inland and mainly dry while isolated
showers will remain possible at the coast in the onshore flow with
muggy overnight lows in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Generally VFR through the day with only isolated chances of TEMPO
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS in showers at TAF sites. Best chances at the coast
at SSI/SGJ. Gusty E/NE winds at 10-15 knots at times. VFR tonight
with only lingering VCSH chances at SSI/SGJ with mainly dry
conditions at inland TAF sites and likely too much boundary flow
for any significant Fog.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Exercise Caution /SCEC/ conditions continue with E-NE
winds at 15-20 knots with seas 3-6 ft continue through tonight.

Rip Currents: Moderate to High Risk of rips continues with 3-5 ft
surf reported at the beaches this morning in the onshore flow.

&&

.CLIMATE...
With 4 days to go, Jacksonville still ranked as driest summer on
record with 7.38", ahead of 8.71" set in 1954. Normal summer rainfall
is 19.80 inches.

This summer in Jacksonville has already set the record for the
most number of days in the middle 90s or higher (>=94F) at 52
days, surpassing the old record of 51 days set in 1981.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  95  73  92  72 /  20  10  40   0
SSI  88  78  87  77 /  20  20  30  30
JAX  91  75  89  75 /  20  20  30  30
SGJ  89  78  87  77 /  30  30  40  40
GNV  93  74  91  74 /  30  10  40  10
OCF  93  74  92  75 /  30  20  40  10

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for Coastal Duval-
     Coastal Nassau-Flagler-St. Johns.

GA...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for Coastal
     Camden-Coastal Glynn.

AM...None.
&&

$$

Hess/Walker


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