207
FXUS65 KLKN 072112
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
212 PM PDT Tue May 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Breezy and cool conditions continue this afternoon and
tomorrow with snow showers around northern Nevada. Change is on
the horizon, with warmer temperatures starting in the 70s Friday
and beyond.


&&

.SHORT TERM...This afternoon through Wednesday night.

Current satellite and radar continues to show snow showers
occurring across southern Idaho, northern Utah, and northern
Nevada. These snow showers are anticipated to dwindle heading
into the evening. Winds will continue to come from the northwest
and be breezy this afternoon and early evening. Winds will be
strongest along summits, mountains, and ridgetops, with gusts
35-40 mph possible. High temperatures will be suppressed by the
northwesterly winds and cloud cover, ranging in the upper 40s to
lower 50s for most of the forecast area. With moslty clearing
skies, lows tonight are anticipated to drop into the mid to upper
20s, with locally colder locations. Snow accumulations remain
minimal with a skiff to a tenth of two across areas of northern
Elko county.

Wednesday, high pressure will spill into the Pacific northwest
veering the winds from northwesterly to more of a north or
northeasterly direction later in the afternoon and evening. Winds
will still be breezy, but not as strong, with winds 15-20 mph and
gusts to 25 mph. Dome nuisance isolated rain and snow showers may
exist across NE Nevada in the Mountain City, Jarbidge, Jackpot
area, as a cut-off low remains centered over Montana allowing for
moisture to wrap around it and produce weak showers across these
areas. High temperatures will be slightly warmer compared to this
afternoon, ranging in the 50s for most of the forecasting area.
Lows bottom out in the upper 20s to lower 30s.



.LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday

Low pressure situated over the American southwest will promote
north/northeasterly afternoon breezes thru the long term period
across the forecast area. There will also be a 10% probability of
rain thru the period with afternoon showers forecast to be
present. However with that being said, low PWAT values will keep
any showers over the high terrain with mostly cumulus buildups and
possibly virga apparent across the valleys. A weak thunderstorm
or two may also be possible across the high terrain, bringing an
occasional lightning strike. Temperatures expected to warm thru
the long term period with daytime highs reaching the low 80s for
some locales by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...VCSH including a mix of snow and graupel at KEKO and
KBAM this afternoon will dissipate thru the evening. Otherwise dry
weather is expected tonight and tomorrow at all terminals under
VFR condtions. Biggest concern will be northerly breezes present
Wednesday with gusts 20 to 25KTS.

KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal
snow melt. Modest increases have been noted in faster responding
creeks and streams due to recent rainfall and snowfall. Increased
flows may additionally be noted on other streams and rivers over
the next several days. However, cool temperatures through the first
half of the week will continue to help mitigate high elevation
snow melt and subsequent runoff.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus resides in minor flood stage and is
forecast to remain in minor flood stage for the next few days
while gradually decreasing. The river is forecast to fall into
action stage mid week.

Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage.
The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action
stage for the next several days.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

91/92/92