Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 040933
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
233 AM PDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
AND ELKO COUNTIES FRIDAY...THEN EXPAND SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS MUCH
OF NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY. MUCH COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A
WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON SUNDAY. DRY AND MILD NEXT WEEK.


&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. STRONG TROUGH APPROACHING
REGION WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER WHITE PINE
COUNTY AND NORTHEAST NYE COUNTY. WIND ADVISORY UP THERE. WILL
BRING IN SOME MOISTURE TO THE REGION TODAY AND EXPAND SOME ACROSS
THE NORTH SATURDAY. MORE COOLING TODAY, THEN TEMPS PLUMMET
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. COOLEST DAY OF THE SEASON BY FAR. WILL FEEL
TRULY LIKE AUTUMN. NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES ABOVE 8000
OR SO COULD SEE SOME SNOW SATURDAY. ROADS SHOULD BE OKAY. WILL
MAKE FOR GREAT PHOTO OPS, ESPECIALLY SINCE IT TECHNICALLY IS STILL
SUMMER, YOU KNOW.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WILL FEATURE A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM. IN THE WAKE OF
THIS STORM...MUCH COOLER AIR WILL USHER IN. SUNDAY HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BE QUITE CHILLY. MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER/MIDDLE 30S. CLOUDS AND WIND COULD KEEP TEMPS UP A
LITTLE OVER GUIDANCE...BUT CLOUD COVER LOOKS MINIMAL SUNDAY MORNING.
SOME OF THE USUAL COLD SPOTS COULD SEE TEMPS IN THE TEENS. HEADING
INTO NEXT WEEK...HEIGHTS WILL RISE AND TEMPS WILL WARM. NO PRECIP IS
EXPECTED...BUT SOME WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE NEARLY ZONAL FLOW COULD
PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AND BREEZY WINDS.


&&

.AVIATION...A COUPLE OF SHOWERS HAVE PASSED THROUGH KWMC THIS
MORNING...SO DECIDED TO INCLUDE VCHS IN THE TAF THROUGH THE MORNING.
VFR IS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ONLY
CONCERN FOR TODAY (FRIDAY) IS GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY FOR KELY.
EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS IN KTPH/KELY AND SOUTHWESTERLY IN KWMC/KEKO.
LOCALIZED BLDU IS POSSIBLE...BUT ISSUES IN VISIBILITY ARE NOT
EXPECTED.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...QUICK AND DIRTY: BIG AUTUMN-LIKE SYSTEM FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
NEVADA TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MOISTURE INCREASES AND TEMPS DROP
SATURDAY. RH`S WILL RECOVER WELL SATURDAY. SOME SHOWERS UP IN THE
NORTHWEST PART OF THE STATE TODAY...SPREADING TO THE REST OF THE
AREA NORTH OF ABOUT US HIGHWAY 50 ON SATURDAY. SLOW WARMING AND
DRYING TREND SUNDAY ONWARD.


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY/LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

&&

$$

98/94/94/98



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