Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 220953
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
353 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Early this morning temperatures ranged from the mid 30s to mid 40s
across the Midsouth with drier air (mid 20s dew points) continuing
to filter in with a gusty northerly wind. Temperatures will
struggle to break the 50 degree mark today as winds remain near
10-15 mph. Tonight will be the coldest night of the forecast
period as winds die down and allow efficient radiational cooling
to drop temperatures into the mid 20s to near 30.

Temperatures will continue to warm to near normal by Friday. A
dry cold front will move through the Midsouth on Saturday,
bringing increased cloud cover and knocking temperatures and
humidity down a bit to end the weekend.

Southerly flow returns on Monday, bringing temperatures back to
near normal. Weak upper level ridging will be taking place across
the region as a longwave trough digs over the western CONUS.
Tuesday will see the warmest temps of the forecast period with
temps reaching the mid 60s to perhaps near 70. Just outside of the
forecast period there is good agreement between deterministic and
ensemble guidance in a frontal passage and likely PoPs for
Wednesday.

WLC

&&

.AVIATION...
06z TAFs

VFR. Occasionally gusty north winds will develop over the next few
hours across the area and continue through about 22/18z. Winds
will slowly diminish to less than 5 kts after 23/00z.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$


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