Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 232002
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
302 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Isold convection ongoing across the region this aftn, as daytime
heating and sufficient moisture overpower the the influence of
the upper ridge. Weak upper low over the se CONUS will continue to
drift wwd and linger through Monday, providing some help for
isold to widely sct convection to overrule the upper ridge`s
stronghold.

Cold front/large-scale upper trof will move into the plains in the
mean time, and begin approaching our region Tuesday into
Wednesday. Some chances for rain will accompany the front,
although they will be rather low-end and focused across only the
nwrn portions of our region. The ridge will continue to hold its
ground through late in the work week, until the upper trof
/reinforced by additional disturbances/ finally is able to ride
over the ridge and force it swd. This will not mean much for us in
terms of getting any rainfall, but it will allow for the
accompanying Canadian airmass to filter into our region and cool
our temps down to a more respectable level for fall. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 230 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017/

.AVIATION...
For the 23/18Z terminal forecast will prevail VFR through most of
the period until around and after 24/09Z when patchy mist/BR and
possibly ceilings around or just below 3 KFT. VFR returns around
and after 24/13Z Sunday morning. Surface winds will be light and
variable to light Southeast through tonight and increase after
24/14Z to 6-12 knots. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  92  71  91 /  10  20  10  20
MLU  70  91  70  90 /  10  20  10  20
DEQ  70  91  69  90 /  10  20   0  20
TXK  71  91  70  89 /  10  20   0  20
ELD  70  91  68  89 /  10  20   0  20
TYR  72  91  71  91 /  10  20  10  10
GGG  71  91  70  91 /  10  20  10  20
LFK  71  92  71  91 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/06



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