Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 061105
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
505 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE 12Z TAF PD. HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL MAKE FOR MAINLY LIGHT AND VRBL WINDS
TODAY...BECOMING NEAR-CALM DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A FULL DAY OF SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TODAY WHICH WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 40S AND EVEN LOWER 50S IN DEEP EAST
TEXAS. THIS DESPITE A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS ANCHORED OVER ONE THIRD
OF THE COUNTRY...EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO TEXAS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR INTO TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER
COLD NIGHT WITH MOSTLY 20S AREA WIDE. ON SATURDAY...THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
COAST...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. AS IT
APPROACHES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST IN
THE LOWER LEVELS... BEGINNING A RETURN OF MOISTURE. CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR WARMER OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES AND MAYBE A FEW SHOWERS OVER EAST TEXAS. ON SUNDAY...
THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO OPEN AND MOVE EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THE APPROACH OF THIS TROUGH WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FOUR STATE REGION. HIGHEST POPS AND QPF APPEAR TO FAVOR THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WITH QPF AMOUNTS IN SOUTHERN AREAS
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT EXPECTED TO BE AROUND ONE INCH. DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE RANGES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE SMALL DUE
TO THE CLOUDS AND RAIN...WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOME SUN IS POSSIBLE AGAIN BY TUESDAY AS THE MOISTURE GETS
PUSHED OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH INTO
THE LOWER 60S...STILL SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR
NORMAL...BUT THERE IS STILL SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY DUE TO A TROUGH OVER SOUTH TEXAS.

/14/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  48  30  58  37  51 /   0   0  10  10  70
MLU  47  24  57  36  54 /   0   0   0  10  50
DEQ  47  24  58  35  52 /   0   0  10  10  50
TXK  44  27  57  37  52 /   0   0  10  10  60
ELD  44  23  56  35  51 /   0   0   0  10  60
TYR  49  30  58  40  51 /   0   0  10  20  70
GGG  49  27  58  39  50 /   0   0  10  20  70
LFK  52  30  60  42  52 /   0   0  10  20  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12





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