Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 282006
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
306 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Weak frontal boundary has stalled over northeast Oklahoma this
afternoon north of Interstate 44. Less humid conditions behind
the front as dew-points have fallen into the upper 50s to lower
60s northwest of Tulsa. Front will become diffuse this evening as
light south winds develop overnight.

Shower/thunderstorm chances will return on Sunday into Monday as
several weak impulses move into the area from the west. Exact
timing of these smaller scale features remain difficult, at this
time, given they are likely convectively driven from MCS activity
over the high plains.

Stronger sub-tropical jet streak will shift into the southern
plains out of northern Mexico on Tuesday with showers and
thunderstorms likely spreading into the area Tuesday/Tuesday
night. Thunderstorms with the potential for locally heavy
rainfall will likely continue along/ahead of next cold front,
which will move into the area during the day Wednesday. Flooding
could become a problem around this time given the multiple rounds
of heavy rain. Precipitation chances will begin to taper off Wednesday
night from north to south behind front.

Significantly cooler/drier conditions expected behind the front
for the the remainder of the work week as surface high pressure
builds across the central/southern plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  84  67  82 /  10  40  20  40
FSM   67  87  68  85 /  10  20  20  40
MLC   66  84  66  82 /  10  30  20  40
BVO   60  84  63  81 /  10  40  20  40
FYV   60  83  62  81 /  10  20  20  40
BYV   62  84  64  82 /  10  20  20  40
MKO   64  84  65  81 /  10  30  20  40
MIO   61  84  64  82 /  10  30  20  40
F10   66  84  66  81 /  10  40  20  40
HHW   68  86  67  84 /  10  20  20  40

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....12



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.