Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 012105
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
405 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA
BORDER MAY CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...BUT THE MAIN ACTION IS
LIKELY SHIFTING NORTH OF THE STATE LINE FOR NOW. ADDITIONAL SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL POSE A LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER RISK.

THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EAELY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA. ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE INITIALLY...WITH A TREND
TOWARDS MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS AS THE STORMS BECOME LINEAR.

ONCE THE STORMS CLEAR THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING...AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER IS LIKELY TO RETURN. MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A WARMING TREND
SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  85  54  70 /  60  80  30   0
FSM   72  87  59  74 /  20  90  60   0
MLC   72  88  56  75 /  20  90  30   0
BVO   69  84  50  67 /  70  60  30   0
FYV   67  83  53  68 /  30  80  60   0
BYV   68  84  54  68 /  40  70  60   0
MKO   70  85  55  70 /  40  90  30   0
MIO   69  82  53  65 /  70 100  40   0
F10   70  86  54  73 /  30  80  20   0
HHW   72  90  58  77 /  20  70  50  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....05




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