Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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332
FXUS64 KTSA 221732
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1232 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR VSBYS IN RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN TAF IMPACTS FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
PERIODS OF RAIN WILL BE HANDLED WITH A COMBINATION OF PREVAILING
..TEMPO AND PROB GROUPS. THUNDER CHANCES APPEAR TOO LIMITED FOR
INCLUSION. VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 957 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ZONE UPDATES THUS FAR REFLECT POP AND QPF ADJUSTMENTS.
UPDATE TO BE ISSUED SHORTLY WILL REFLECT A HIGHER POP SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 ALONG WITH INCREASED 6 HOUR QPF AMOUNTS. TAPERED
POPS SOME ACROSS NE OK THIS AFTERNOON DOWN TO HIGH CHANCE...WITH
LOWER QPF AMOUNTS. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH THE HEAVIER...MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOK GOOD AT THIS
TIME...AND WILL LEAVE AS IS. WILL MONITOR TEMPS THROUGH 17Z-18Z
FOR POTENTIAL UPDATE...BUT WILL LEAVE THOSE AS THEY ARE FOR NOW.

UPDATED ZFP/PFM/AFM OUT SHORTLY.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$


AVIATION...23





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