Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 290341
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
840 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAKENING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTH
OF THE AREA MAY THEN BRING A FEW VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WARM DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA TODAY.
TUCSON TIED THE OLD RECORD OF 85 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1945. LATEST
MODELS SUGGESTED THAT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES HAD PEAKED TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS.
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKED GOOD ON THESE TRENDS...SO NO UPDATES
NECESSARY THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO THE ADDITIONAL SECTIONS FOR
MORE DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 30/06Z.
SKC CONDITIONS THRU THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS...GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
KTS...WITH DIURNAL WIND TRENDS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS AND MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES 8 TO 13 DEGREES
ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. COOLER READINGS MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...
NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM PASSES NORTH OF THE REGION.
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH...WITH
TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS EXPECTED.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MEADOWS
FIRE WEATHER/AVIATION...85

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