Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 170350
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
950 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 949 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

NO CHANGES. MOST OF THE THIN STRATOCU OVER ERN ND/RRV HAS
DISSIPATED BUT COVERAGE REMAINS A BIT MORE EAST OF THE VALLEY AND
THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE. WINDS MOSTLY 15-25 KTS AND THAT WILL
HOLD TONIGHT. WILL KEEP ISOLD OR SCT -SHSN IN FCST TONIGHT AS ANY
CLOUD THAT MOVES OVERHEAD WILL SQUEEZE OUT A FLURRY.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 337 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

MAIN CHALLENGE IS HEADLINES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...SFC COLD FRONT IS CROSSING THE
CENTRAL PART OF MINNESOTA...AND ALL ZONES WITHIN THE CWA WILL HAVE
NW WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONGEST GUSTS NOW ALONG AND
WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY. RADAR SHOWS SNOW SHOWERS MOVING SE
ACROSS THE AREA...AND OBSERVATIONS/PUBLIC REPORTS SHOW
VISIBILITIES DECREASING TO AROUND ONE HALF MILE OR LESS WITHIN THE
AREAS OF SNOW. WITH WINDS STILL FORECAST TO GUST INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AFTER SUNSET...AND SNOW SHOWERS RESTRICTING VISIBILITY...HAVE
CHANGED THE WIND ADVISORY TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW UNTIL 900 PM CST THIS EVENING.

FOR MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...PRESSURE GRADIENT SLOWLY WEAKENING
OVERNIGHT AND SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY AS
SFC LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS SRN ONTARIO. EXPECT SKIES
TO BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY WITH LIGHT WINDS LATER IN THE DAY AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE WORKS ITS WAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
OTHERWISE...TEMPS REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 337 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT
OF COOL AIR AND A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION.

THE WED NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY PERIOD LOOKS DRY OVERALL AND COOL.
WE WILL REMAIN IN N/NW FLOW ALOFT WITH COLD AIR ALOFT THROUGH MUCH
OF THE PERIOD. WE SHOULD MODERATE A BIT BY THE END OF NEXT
WEEK...AND TEMPS SHOULD RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL BY NEXT
WEEKEND...WITH MORE ZONAL FLOW AND COLDEST AIR MOVING EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 702 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

ISSUES OVERNIGHT WILL BE SKY COVER. SKIES CLEARING PRETTY QUICKLY
AT SUNSET AND OVERNIGHT MOST SITES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY. BUT
THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME SUSPENDED SNOW/ICE CRYSTALS AND THIN
STRATOCU RESULTING IN BKN MVFR CIGS. THUS A MIX BAG SKY COVER
WISE. WINDS WILL REMAIN 12-25 KT RANGE. EXPECT STRATOCU DECK TO
FORM WITH DAYTIME HEATING MONDAY AS NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN GUSTY.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...RIDDLE
SHORT TERM...HOPKINS
LONG TERM...HOPKINS/DK
AVIATION...RIDDLE







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