Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 291655

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
955 AM MST Sat Apr 29 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Expect below normal temperatures today with a chance
of showers across eastern Arizona. Dry weather with a strong
warming trend starts Sunday and continues through next week.


A chance of showers will continue into this afternoon across
northern Arizona, primarily for Apache County. Otherwise, cool
conditions will continue for today before a warming trend and dry
conditions develop for much of next week.


.PREV DISCUSSION /336 AM MST/...The main weather feature of
interest will continue to be the closed upper low currently near
the Four Corners with a cold pool aloft. The low will swing
southeastward into New Mexico today and quickly lift into the
middle part of the country on Sunday. With the low in the vicinity
of the area, below normal temperatures and a continued chance of
showers in eastern Arizona are expected today. Winds will remain
northerly and be breezy at times.

As the system departs the area on Sunday, northwesterly winds will
develop along with a warming trend into next week. A building
ridge of high pressure will slowly slide east and become centered
over the southwest US after mid week. This will bring
unseasonably warm temperatures and continued dry weather to
northern Arizona for the latter half of next week.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z Package...From KINW eastward, expect
isolated to scattered rain and snow showers this afternoon
producing periodic MVFR conditions. VFR expected west of KINW.
Thunder is possible this afternoon southeast of a KSOW-KRQE line.
N to NE winds today 10-20 kts. Gusts near 30 kts through around
sunset. Aviation discussion not updated for amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER... Expect cool and breezy weather across the area
today. The chance for showers will continue over Apache and Navajo
Counties with dry conditions elsewhere. Low elevations of Yavapai
County will continue to see low afternoon humidity values. Dry
weather continues into Sunday with temperatures beginning to warm.

Monday through Wednesday...A period of dry weather with less wind
and above normal daytime temperatures is expected.






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