Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 271231
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
731 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A SECONDARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. SO NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 10-15 KNOTS
TODAY WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 503 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014/

UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES BASED ON THE CURRENT WIND
AND WAVE FORECASTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE BIG STORY FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FOR TODAY, WEATHER WISE, WILL BE
THE COOLER AIR THAT IS MOVING IN. TEMPERATURES WILL TRY TO REACH
INTO THE LOW 70S BEFORE A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SOMETIME THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT
OF COLD AIR INTO THE REGION FOR TONIGHT. LOWS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
WILL RANGE FROM LOW TO MID 50S ALONG THE COASTS, DOWN TO AROUND
40FIN THE NORTHERN INTERIOR.

TOMORROW, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN, KEEPING THE COOLER
AIR IN PLACE. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH EVEN 70F. BY
TOMORROW NIGHT, THE HIGH WILL SLIDE TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA,
SLOWLY TURNING THE WIND MORE TO THE EAST ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW SOME WARMER AIR TO MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION, WITH HIGHS
BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

THE HIGH REMAINS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST UNTIL THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK, THEN WEAKENS. HOWEVER, ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST US BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
THIS WILL KEEP THE FLOW OUT OF THE EAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE
MAINLAND LOOKS TO BE MAINLY DRY, THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS COULD
SEE SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING. SOME OF
THESE SHOWERS, IF THEY DEVELOP, COULD MAKE ON SHORE IN THE
EASTERLY FLOW.

OTHERWISE, A FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH
MAINLY MARINE CONDITIONS BEING THE CONCERN FOR THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SCT/BKN HIGH
CLOUDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT DUE AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. CLOUDS WILL CLEAR
OUT BY MORNING WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. A SECONDARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. SO NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 5-10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY AND REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD BEHIND THE SECONDARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

MARINE...
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, MARINE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS. A SECONDARY FRONT WILL KEEP WINDS
GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WHILE THERE MAY BE A LULL IN
CONDITIONS AT TIMES TODAY, THE NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
STREAM MAY CONTINUE TO BUILD SEAS HIGH ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD TO
SMALL CRAFT. ALSO, THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP ONCE AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
IN PLACE FOR PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE DAY. THE
ADVISORY OF THE GULF WATERS AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE PALM
BEACH COAST IS SET TO EXPIRE LATER THIS MORNING. ANOTHER SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR TONIGHT FOR ALL WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  72  52  68  60 /   0   0  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  73  55  70  62 /   0   0  10  10
MIAMI            73  54  70  61 /   0   0   0  10
NAPLES           70  47  65  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ651-671.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52/PS
LONG TERM....54/BNB
AVIATION...52/PS


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