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000
FXUS63 KSGF 311055
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
555 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

The rain that impacted far southern Missouri Wednesday had shifted
to the south with only lingering sprinkles early this morning.
Partial clearing from the north and moist conditions where rain
had fallen was resulting in patchy fog.

The shortwave trough responsible for the recent rainfall will
track southeast across Arkansas today. Scattered showers and
sprinkles will linger today and mainly this morning across far
southern Missouri within an axis of weak mid level deformation
north of the shortwave.

Temperatures will remain cooler than normal today especially under
the clouds closer to the Arkansas border.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

The northwesterly flow aloft will continue the next few days
before the upper ridge out west expands eastward early next week.

A shortwave trough will drop southward across the Great Lakes
region Friday and Saturday. This feature may support the
development of isolated showers across the eastern Ozarks Friday
and Saturday but expect most locations to remain dry.

Temperatures will remain below normal through Saturday then a
warming trend will develop heading into early next week.
Temperatures will be near seasonal mid summer levels Monday and Tuesday.

The next upper level trough and associated front will approach the
region later next week bringing our next substantial chance of
rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 555 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS...A low level stratus deck and
fog have developed across the area overnight. The fog will remain
at all the TAF sites early this morning with the low level cloud
deck remaining possible over the KSGF and KBBG TAFS. The clouds
will lift and increase by the mid morning hours with the fog also
burning off early this morning.

Scattered light showers will also be possible across southern
Missouri this morning and will mainly impact the KBBG TAF SITE.
VFR conditions will occur this afternoon and evening, with light
winds occurring throughout the TAF period. Fog may once again develop
overnight into early Friday morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Wise