Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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134
FXUS64 KSJT 240425
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1025 PM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Expect VFR at the terminals for the next 24 hours. Also, gusty
southwest winds will prevail at the KABI and KSJT terminals Friday
afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 526 PM CST Thu Nov 23 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR at the terminals for the next 24 hours. Also, gusty
southwest winds will prevail at the KABI and KSJT terminals Friday
afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 245 PM CST Thu Nov 23 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Friday)

Winds had returned to the southwest and west at 10 mph or less over
West Central Texas this afternoon, as surface high pressure moved
into East and South Texas.

Light winds over southern sections, along and southeast of an Ozona
to Brownwood line tonight will allow good radiational cooling and
lows in the mid and upper 30s. Winds will keep up overnight over the
Big Country, enough to keep temperatures in the 40s.

There will a quick warmup Friday with temperatures rising into the
mid and upper 70s, with downslope southwest winds of 10 to 18 mph. A
few areas may see 80 degrees in the Concho Valley and north of I-20
in the Big Country.

LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)

A dry forecast will continue across the area through the extended
period. Another weak cold front will move across the area on
Saturday. After a warm day on Friday, the front will usher in a
cooler airmass for the weekend, although still above seasonal
values for this time of year. Highs on Saturday will range from
around 70 north, to the mid 70s along the I-10 corridor, with
highs on Sunday in the lower 70s. Lows will be in the 40s.

Models show a potent shortwave moving across the Southern Rockies
early next week. The GFS continues to be the faster model, bringing
the system across the Plains on Tuesday, with an associated cold
front moving across the area during the day. The ECMWF is
considerably slower and doesn`t have the shortwave and associated
front affecting the area until Wednesday. For now, will side with
the faster GFS and bring the front through the area on Tuesday.
The front will usher in a dry and cooler airmass through mid week,
with slightly below normal temperatures expected for Wednesday
and Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  47  78  48  69 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  40  80  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  35  77  44  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  37  79  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  48  77  50  68 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       37  76  44  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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