Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSJT 142345
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
545 PM CST SUN FEB 14 2016


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

A weak cold front with northwest to north winds of 8 KTS or less will
move through West Central Texas this evening. Winds will increase
to 10 to 12 KTS midmorning Monday. VFR otherwise with dry air
behind the front.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 PM CST SUN FEB 14 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

A weak cold front has moved through much of the Big Country this
afternoon and should move through the Concho Valley/Heartland late
this afternoon and then through the Interstate 10 corridor this
evening. Expect north winds of 5 to 10 mph and slightly cooler
temperatures behind the front. Fairly good radiational cooling
conditions are expected overnight although winds in the 4 to 6 knot
range may negate cooling somewhat. Expect overnight lows generally
in the upper 30s to lower 40s, although a few low lying locations
may drop into the mid 30s.

On Monday, slightly cooler temperatures are expected behind the cold
front with north winds of 10 to 15 mph, becoming light during the
afternoon as a surface high settles across the region. Still
abundant sunshine should allow temperatures to top out in the upper
60s to lower 70s for most locations. No rain is forecast through the
next 24 hours.

LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)

No change to the ongoing forecast, with temperatures that are more
in line with mid April than mid February for most of the upcoming
week. Dry northwest flow prevails early, before a upper level
ridge axis shifts east across the area on Wednesday. Thermal ridge
in place just off the west with 850mb temperatures above 20C. Will
boost temperatures a couple degrees above the superblend data
which has highs in the 70s, keeping highs mainly in the low to mid
80s.

Models have gone back to a dry forecast for the end of the weekend
and early the following week, with a stronger cold front keeping
the precipitation chances farther south and southeast. Models will
continue to struggle some with this type of pattern change over
the next several days, so will leave the small PoP`s in the
forecast for now and let the models settle into something more
consistent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  38  69  46  75 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  38  73  42  82 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  39  74  39  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/04


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.