Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 030943
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
443 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Highs today under mostly sunny skies will be in the mid 70s. A
southward moving upper shortwave trough, located just north of the
Panhandle early this morning, will bring a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms to the northern Big Country this evening as it
moves over the forecast area. A few storms may produce small hail
and gusty winds. Zonal winds aloft over the forecast area today will
veer to the northwest overnight as the upper shortwave moves through
the area. Lows Wednesday morning will be around 50 degrees.

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)

An upper level ridge will move east from the Rockies and over the
Plains states by mid to late week. This pattern will result in
dry and pleasant weather across West Central Texas Wednesday
through Friday, with afternoon highs warming from the lower 80s
Wednesday, to the lower to middle 80s by Thursday and Friday.
Mainly clear skies and light winds will result in overnight lows
in the 50s Wednesday night and in the upper 50s and lower 60s
Thursday night.

The medium range models continue to show a large upper low moving
onshore of southern California by Friday, with this system slowly
moving east across the Plains by early next week. Southerly winds
and low level moisture will increase across the area by Friday and
as the system nears, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible for several days, mainly Saturday through next Monday.
This system will need to be monitored as some severe storms will
likely occur across the Plains next weekend but is still too early
to predict at this time. Highs are expected to remain in the 80s
Saturday through Monday, with lows in the 60s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  75  52  81  54 /   5  20   0   0
San Angelo  78  51  84  53 /   0   5   0   0
Junction  77  49  84  52 /   0   5   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

15/24


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