Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 231533
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1030 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING SHOWS WINDS TO 35 KT JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE
THAT IS RESULTING IN SOME GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES TODAY. THE CAPE IS
AROUND 1300 SO HEATING WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON. THE POPS WERE LOWERED SLIGHTLY OVER
THE INLAND COUNTIES FOR TODAY. THE NEXT ROUND OF SYNOPTICALLY
INDUCED PRECIPITATION WILL BE KNOCKING TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE RAIN CHANCES ARE LOW OVERNIGHT. WITH COOL GULF
WATERS AND HIGH DEWPOINT AIR ADVECTING OVER IT SOME SEA FOG WILL
DEVELOP BUT NOT SEEING IT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY AT THIS TIME. WHEN SEA
FOG FORMS SOME MAY MOVE ONSHORE LOWERING VISIBILITY IN COASTAL AREAS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 80S IN MOST
PLACES TODAY. THE SOUTHERLY WIND OVER THE FETCH IS NOT PRODUCING
ENOUGH WAVE ACTION TO WARRANT A MENTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK SO
WILL BE DROPPING THAT.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON LATE
THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. SEA FOG MAY CAUSE REDUCED
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES AT TAF SITES NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS THOUGH THIS AFTERNOON UNDER BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND ROUGH
SEAS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TONIGHT AND MONDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT
BRINGS WINDS BACK UP TO ADVISORY LEVELS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.


&&


.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-ENGLEWOOD
     TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO
     SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...69/CLOSE
LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...63/JILLSON







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