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000
FXUS63 KEAX 310534
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1234 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 214 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

Not a lot going on for this fcst issuance as the incredibly
pleasant temperatures continue. Other than a few light showers
clipping southern Linn County this afternoon, the CWA should remain
dry through much of the fcst period as northwest flow persists
associated with a deep low pressure over the lower Hudson Bay region.
The low will very slowly lift north allowing for rising heights and
warmer temperatures by the end of the weekend and into early next
week.

As the current ridge of high pressure over the western CONUS builds
east we should see temps return back to close to normal by Monday
with increasing humidity. The warm temps will not last too long as a
trough amplifies across the Northern Plains while the ridge
retrogrades west, allowing for a cold front to move through the CWA.
At this time the GFS and EC depict increasing precip chances
beginning very late TUE but more so WED afternoon and evening
associated with the cold frontal passage. Beyond the fcst period the
trough should continue to impact the CWA with several days of below
normal temperatures to finish out next week. We shall see...

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the TAF period.
Mainly clear skies tonight will be replaced by diurnal cumulus with
bases around 5-6 kft late Thursday morning, and winds will gradually
veer from northeast to southeast at speeds around 5 kts.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Pietrycha
AVIATION...Laflin