Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 162120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
220 PM PDT WED APR 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. HOWEVER...THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SIERRA CREST BEGINNING THURSDAY. EARLY
NEXT WEEK A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST AND COULD
BRING COOLER AND SHOWERY WEATHER TO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
CONTINUES OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING HAS
OCCURRED IN THE WAKE OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXITING THE STATE.
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THOUGH...WITH MOST
VALLEY AND DESERT LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S BY
THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS/DESERT HAVE SUBSIDED FROM THIS MORNING TO LESS THAN 30
MPH. A FEW LOCATIONS BRIEFLY REACHED 40 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH A
BRIEF GUST TO 51 MPH NEAR MOJAVE.

PROGS STRENGTHEN THE RIDGE OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A FEW DEGREES OF
WARMING ON THURSDAY WITH MAX TEMPS NEAR 90 IN PARTS OF THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRUSH THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN PLACE FOR THE HIGH
SIERRA...CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. ALSO KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. EXPECT
ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING WITH THIS SYSTEM GOING INTO THE WEEKEND AND
INCREASING WINDS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS/DESERT. WIND GUSTS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THOUGH.

MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO FAVOR A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR MUCH LOWER
TEMPERATURES...DROPPING 15 TO 20 DEGREES BETWEEN MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. LESS CONFIDENCE THOUGH IN TIMING OF PRECIPITATION. COVERAGE
WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWFA IN PLACE
APPEARS TO BE THE BEST APPROACH FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 04-16       95:1947     51:1917     58:1947     35:1896
KFAT 04-17       94:1980     58:1933     58:1992     34:1896
KFAT 04-18       95:1910     51:1955     62:1939     36:1941

KBFL 04-16       97:1947     50:1995     64:1947     34:1922
KBFL 04-17       95:1954     60:1975     61:1954     34:1922
KBFL 04-18       98:1910     55:1923     63:1954     35:1922
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MENDENHALL
AVN/FW...MENDENHALL
SYNOPSIS...PJ

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD







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