Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 271719
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1219 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD,
HOWEVER A FEW CIRRUS MAY BE NOTED ESPECIALLY TOWARD KAEX. NW WINDS
WILL BECOME CALM AND VRB THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
LATE SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
CLEAR SKIES TODAY WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE 70S.
QUIET WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS IN CONTROL. LOOKS GREAT TO GO FISHING... GOLFING... OR
TAKING IN A GOOD GAME OF SOFTBALL OR BASEBALL. ENJOY

K. KUYPER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 753 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

MARINE...TRIMMED BACK THE SCA FROM THE NORTHWEST AS WINDS ARE
DIMINISHING CLOSER TO THE SHORE WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY. WILL
GO WITH SCA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON EAST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY AND FOR THE OUTER WATERS EAST OF CAMERON. COASTAL FORECAST
ALREADY UPDATED.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT SKIES HAVE CLEARED. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM CENTRAL TEXAS. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL BECOME MODERATE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME CIRRUS WILL MOVE IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT DUE TO SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. CAVOK.

SWEENEY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...NO SIGNIFICANT FORECAST ISSUES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.  SUBSIDENCE AND COLD ADVECTION ARE WORKING THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES OVER THE NW HALF OF THE
REGION FALLING INTO THE 40S. UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST
OF THE AREA AND A LARGE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS OVER THE MIDWEST AND
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY AND MILD WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

APPEARS BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK AS BROAD UPPER WAVE SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
MOISTURE PROGS FROM GFS AND ECMWF ARE NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE SO WILL
KEEP POPS IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE. UPPER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO
ZONAL FLOW BY LATE NEXT WEEK.  WITH SOME SHORT WAVES EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW... WILL GENERALLY KEEP 10-20 PERCENT CHANCE
POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.

MARINE...NO CHANGES TO SCA HAZARDS FOR NOW.  MODELS INCLUDING LATER
HRRR CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THIS MORNING.
A FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEKEND WITH A MODEST TIGHTENING OF GRADIENT ESPECIALLY OVER SE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.  AT THIS TIME...NO SCA
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

04

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  44  75  51  78 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  50  76  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  47  75  55  77 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  52  76  58  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ455-472-
     475.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     GMZ452-470.

&&

$$


AVIATION...05



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