Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
FXUS64 KLUB 272026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
326 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

An impressive upper level high pressure ridge will continue to
expand eastward across the southern plains tonight and Thursday. Dry
subsident conditions will dominate, though just enough shallow low
level moisture will hold on in the southwestern South Plains for an
opportunity for brief early morning fog where the combination of
radiational cooling, adequate moisture and slight upslope component
will reside together. Otherwise have pared back fog mention from the
previous forecast with lack of overall solution support. Tonight
expected to be slightly more mild as the upper ridge builds in, but
still areas mainly in the western South Plains and southwest
Panhandle are likely to dip again below guidance numbers. The very
dry airmass and nearly full sunshine on Friday - some high clouds
increasing especially late in the day - favor the high side of
guidance; on the order of 10 or more degrees above normal. RMcQueen

A flatter, but still robust version of the upper ridge will hold
sway over northwest Texas through the weekend. This will provide dry
weather along with temperatures residing 10 to 15 degrees above
average on the whole. One shortwave trough traversing the Midwest
will send a cold front southward toward the region early Sunday and
the wind shift could briefly sag into the northeast zones, though
overall impacts will be minimal. The upper ridge will gradually
relent to southwesterly flow aloft next week. Another weak cold
front may make a run at the CWA on Tuesday, though it too should
quickly lift back northward. However, slowly decreasing
heights/thicknesses will supply a modest cooling trend from Tuesday
onward. In addition, increasing moisture and the approach of western
storm system, in one form or another, will mean thickening cloud
cover and a chance of showers and thunderstorms will enter the
picture by Wednesday and Thursday.




05/23 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.