National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 062336
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
636 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH EXTENSIVE
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS. THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT RAIN ALONG THE SE
COAST FOR THE FIRST HOUR OR TWO BUT NOT WORTH MENTIONING IN THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME AS VSBY WILL REMAIN UNRESTRICTED. SURFACE
WIND WILL BE A LITTLE TRICKY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS GUIDANCE IS
ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH THE SPEEDS. SOME INDICATE GUSTS TO OVER
20KT BEGINNING AS EARLY AS 02Z BUT THINK THIS WILL NOT BE
MAINTAINED UNTIL MIXING OCCURS AFT 15-16Z ON FRIDAY.

KOB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 505 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT)...
THE IMPRESSIVE SQUALL LINE THAT MOVED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON HAS NOW
PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA OUT ACROSS THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. THE
LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWED MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN OVER THE AREA WITH A FEW
MODERATE SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN ITS WAKE. THE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS
SHOWED A 1007 MB LOW CENTERED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. THE LATEST
SHORT-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND INDICATES IT MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA
TONIGHT AS THE LOW QUICKLY LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE AREA.
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO AROUND NORMAL
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
THE INTERIOR AREAS TOWARD THE LAKE REGION BY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY-THURSDAY)...
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY MIDWEEK AS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO.


MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...WHICH WILL KEEP THE BEST RAIN CHANCES IN PLACE ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE CLEARING FROM
WEST TO EAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION
WITH A RETURN OF DRY WEATHER.

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
     LAKE OKEECHOBEE-WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF,
     FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE
     BAHAMAS-WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL
     EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
