Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 281914
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
214 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD IS GRADUALLY PULLING
OUT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD IN ACROSS FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH MONDAY. GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TUE-WED HOWEVER, THIS IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED AND
WILL HAVE MINIMAL AFFECT ON THE WEATHER LOCALLY. BUILDING
HEIGHTS/RIDGING WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

THE RESULT WILL BE A RATHER TRANQUIL PERIOD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH STORM SYSTEMS REMAINING WELL OFF TO THE
NORTH. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LOW WITH POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOWING PWATS THROUGH NEXT WEEK AVERAGING JUST AN INCH, BUT A BRIEF
SPIKE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG WITH WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGHING
MID WEEK COULD LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST...ESPECIALLY TUE-WED.

THE COOL TEMPERATURES OF THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE AS SURFACE WINDS VEER AND BECOMING EASTERLY BY SUNDAY.
INSTEAD OF WINDS BLOWING DOWN THE PENINSULA FROM THE CONTINENT,
WINDS WILL BE BLOWING OFF OF THE WARM GULF STREAM CURRENT, PROVIDING
FOR WARMING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
DEWPOINTS...INTO THE 60S NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
AS WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST TONIGHT THEN EAST NORTHEAST THIS
WEEKEND, SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS THE FLOW
BECOMES NON-OPPOSING TO THE CURRENT. SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM ARE
FORECAST TO LOWER BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL THIS EVENING. A MODERATE TO
FRESH EAST NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTH
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS NEXT WEEK WITH SEAS BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  58  74  66  77 /  10  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  60  75  68  78 /  10  10  10  10
MIAMI            60  76  67  79 /  10  10  10  10
NAPLES           51  75  59  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
AMZ650-651- 670-671.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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