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000
FXUS62 KTBW 060140 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
840 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.UPDATE...
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE MOVING INTO THE NATURE COAST THIS EVENING
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. QUITE A CONTRAST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ALREADY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
30S. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN OVER NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...SLIDING SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. FORECAST APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK THIS EVENING...WITH NO
UPDATES EXPECTED.

WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FOG SITUATION OVERNIGHT. THE
MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND LIGHTENING WINDS WILL ENABLE
THE POSSIBILITY OF DENSE FOG FORMATION LATER TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR DETERIORATING TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR/LIFR TONIGHT AS FOG
DEVELOPS. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SLIGHTLY AFTER
SUNRISE...THOUGH SOME MVFR CIGS COULD REMAIN INTO THE AFTERNOON.
TPA/PIE COULD BE MVFR THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS LOW CLOUDS
HANG AROUND THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
SEA FOG POTENTIAL REMAINS TONIGHT...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
THE NORTHERN WATERS. FOG SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNRISE IN THE
MORNING AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  64  72  55  73 /  10  20  20  10
FMY  66  83  62  80 /   0  20  10  20
GIF  65  74  55  73 /  10  20  20  20
SRQ  64  75  58  74 /  10  20  10  10
BKV  60  69  50  71 /  10  20  20  10
SPG  66  73  58  72 /  10  20  20  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...02/GARCIA
DATA COLLECTION/UPPER AIR...007/DOUGHERTY
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...57/MCMICHAEL