Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 290045
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
845 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.UPDATE...
Scattered convection developed as the sea breezes moved inland
this afternoon and continue to pop up as they move into the
interior. Will continue to see more storms pop over the interior
as the west coast and east coast sea breezes collide this evening.
Convection will wind down and dissipate shortly after midnight
with partly cloudy skies for the remainder of the night. On Sunday
we will see the sea breezes develop early, by midday, as the low
level flow will be rather light and should be enough moisture
once again to see more scattered storms develop. Best chances will
be from around the interstate 4 corridor southward where
precipitable water will be between 1.4 and 1.6 inches, while
further north convection should remain more isolated. Overall the
current grids/zone forecast look ok and will only update zones to
remove early evening rain chances to Nature Coast southward along
the west coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some areas of MVFR ceilings could develop as daytime heating
gets underway Sunday morning and then more MVFR/local IFR
conditions will be possible in scattered afternoon convection.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected.

&&

.MARINE...
A weak pressure pattern will continue across the waters for the
next few days with rather light and variable winds shifting to
onshore and increasing to around 10 knots near the coast in the
afternoon.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  74  90  75  90 /  10  20  10  30
FMY  71  91  73  91 /  20  40  30  30
GIF  71  92  72  93 /  30  40  30  50
SRQ  72  89  72  88 /  10  10  10  20
BKV  68  91  67  92 /  10  20  10  30
SPG  75  88  77  88 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/Close
UPPER AIR...25/Davis
DECISION SUPPORT...11/McKaughan



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