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000
FXUS62 KTBW 110041
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
841 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2014

.DISCUSSION (TONIGHT)...
ALOFT - ONE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WAS FROM THE WESTERN CANADIAN PRAIRIE
PROVINCES TO THE GREAT BASIN...A MORE ROBUST SHORT WAVE TROUGH/LOW
WAS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...A LOW OFFSHORE
NORTHERN QUEBEC TROUGHED DOWN ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CONUS...AND A WEAK RIDGE WAS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF
REGION. SURFACE - LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS HAD A
FRONT THAT TRAILED TO SOUTHERN CA...A DRY LINE SOUTH TO NORTHERN
MEXICO...AND ANOTHER FRONT THAT STRETCHED TO LOW PRESSURE OVER
ONTARIO. A WEAK TROUGH/AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS IN THE WESTERN GULF
AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGED ACROSS FL TO THE CENTRAL GULF.

THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF BUILDS IN SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT AS THE
AFTERNOON SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXITS EAST...TAKING THE MID DECK OF
CLOUDS WITH IT. EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR WHICH ALONG WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT...WITH THE AXIS ACROSS THE AREA...AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN LATE NIGHT FOG...PATCHY BUT NORTHERN
COUNTIES WILL HAVE AREAS. THE CURRENT FORECAST GENERALLY ON TRACK
BUT HAVE ADJUSTED THE SKY SOME AND WILL UPDATE BY 900 PM WITH NO
OTHER CHANGES.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 09Z-13Z ACROSS MUCH OF THE TERMINALS WITH PATCHY
GROUND FOG. VFR THEN RETURNS AFTER 13Z THROUGH THE REST OF THE
PERIOD WITH INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE WATERS OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT EASTERLY
OR VARIABLE WINDS...AFTER THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE COLLAPSES. NEXT
FORECAST OUT BY 10 PM WITH LITTLE CHANGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  57  77  64  78 /   0   0  30  50
FMY  58  81  64  82 /   0   0  20  40
GIF  56  81  64  81 /   0   0  30  50
SRQ  55  77  64  78 /   0   0  30  50
BKV  47  79  58  79 /   0   0  40  50
SPG  62  77  66  78 /   0   0  30  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...RUDE
AVIATION...COLSON
UPPER AIR/DATA ACQUISITION...LEWIS