Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS21 KWNS 051601
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

VALID 051700Z - 061200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SRN PLAINS...
BREEZY SWLY WINDS /SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH/ ARE POSSIBLE
AMIDST MIN RH VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT...SOME LOCALLY ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BUT BELOW-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
AND SHORT DURATION OF THE OVERLAPPING DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS
SHOULD TEMPER THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.

...SRN CA...
RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A 13 MB OFFSHORE LAX-TPH GRADIENT
AND A 5 MB OFFSHORE LAX-DAG GRADIENT. REGIONAL OBSERVATIONS SHOW
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXIST IN
AREAS WHERE THESE WINDS OVERLAP WITH RH VALUES AROUND 15-20 PERCENT.
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE
DAY BUT GRADUALLY DECREASING WIND SPEEDS COUPLED WITH GENERALLY
UNRECEPTIVE FUELS SHOULD KEEP ANY FIRE WEATHER THREAT
ISOLATED...PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR A THREAT AREA.

..MOSIER.. 02/05/2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016/

...SYNOPSIS...
A QUIESCENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
TODAY.  AN AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE PHASING WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH
OVER HUDSON BAY.  FARTHER WEST...A SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE
INTERIOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH UPPER RIDGING
REMAINING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.  AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SPREADING
COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS ACROSS MANY DRY AREAS OF FAR SOUTH
TEXAS AND LIMITING FIRE WEATHER THREAT THERE.  THE HIGH WILL ALSO
FOSTER SUBSTANTIAL OFFSHORE FLOW ESPECIALLY IN TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS
OF COASTAL SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...BUT RECENT RAINFALL AND RESULTANT
UNSUPPORTIVE FUELS WILL LIMIT THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT THERE.  NO
AREAS WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED FOR THIS FORECAST.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$


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