Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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FNUS73 KMPX 161238
FWSMPX
Spot Forecast for Hollerberg WMA Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
738 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
For the Hollerberg WMA Rx, dewpoints will decrease slightly while
temperatures rise back up into the low 70s this afternoon. As
such, we`ll see RH values gradually decrease through the morning
and afternoon until bottoming out in the low 40s around 3-5pm.
Winds will stay out of the northwest today at generally 10-15mph.
Scattered light rain is possible overnight, otherwise dry weather
will persist over the next 48 hours.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 15 mph at
ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 9 to 15
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /46600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /84800 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6100 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......MC MC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60 62 65 67 69 70 71 72 71 68 65 62
RH..............74 69 61 55 48 45 42 41 43 48 55 63
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W S SE
20 FT wind spd..15 13 12 12 12 10 9 8 7 6 5 3
20 FT wind gust.21 20 18 18 17 16 15 13 12 9 7 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.3 3.9 5.0 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.5 4.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W N SW
Transp wind spd.18 16 16 17 17 16 16 13 9 6 6 9
Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west
around 6 mph early in the evening, then
shifting to the south around 5 mph late in the
evening becoming light late in the evening
becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (60700 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 13 mph shifting to the north around 6
mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
southwest around 9 mph late in the evening
shifting to the south 8 to 15 mph late in the
evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Max 88.
RH..................Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (82100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (103100
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...Dettmann
Requested by...Louise Spiczka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414374.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us