635
FNUS73 KMPX 091234
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Auto Tour...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
734 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A mix of sun and clouds is expected throughout the day
today with no precipitation expected. Winds will come from the north
at 10-15mph, gusting into the 15-20mph range, with RH values bottoming
out around 40 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................62 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /33700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /83000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  62  65  66  67  68  68  68  66  63  59  57
RH..............62  60  54  52  49  43  42  40  43  52  60  67
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   8   5   3   5
20 FT wind gust.14  15  15  16  16  17  16  15  13  10  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.4 4.7 4.9 5.6 6.3 6.4 5.4 3.9 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  16  15  15  15  10  8   7   8
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 6 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (70700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 15 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to
                    22 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (56500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (141700
                    knot-ft) late in the morning.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 16 mph increasing to northwest 23 to
                    30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Calderone
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413588.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov