Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 301057
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
557 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Update for 12Z aviation cycle.

&&

.AVIATION...

Continued VFR conditions across our terminals today and tonight.
High pressure will continue to settle into the region allowing for
light northerly winds, less than 10 knots, today becoming more
light and variable late tonight.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 342 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016/

SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)...

We`ve had months of unbearable and continued heat and humidity and
now it`s finally come to an end. We are owed what the next couple of
days will provide us in South Texas as large scale ridging across
the region continues to keep us dry but also adds in the drying
northerly winds. Temperatures each afternoon look to end up right
around normal, upper-80s. Overnight lows tonight will drop into the
upper-50s/low-60s across the interior to near 70 degrees along the
coast under mostly clear skies. Get out and enjoy it!

LONG TERM (Saturday Night through Thursday)...

Deep upper level low will continue to spin over Northeast US through
the weekend as high pressure holds strong over Texas. A shortwave is
progged to move across the region Saturday night, but moisture
should remain very low over the region and preclude any rain
chances. Could see a coastal trough develop along the middle Texas
coast Sunday into early next week which will begin the moisture
return toward the area, however steady onshore flow will not return
until Tuesday. With the return of Gulf moisture and upper level
support could start to see a few showers in Victoria Tuesday and
more of the area Wednesday and Thursday. GFS dissipates a weak
surface boundary in the area mid-week, ECMWF is slower but a bit
stronger, bringing another cold front through by Thursday or
Thursday night. Temperatures gradually increase through mid-week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    87  64  87  69  87  /   0   0   0  10  10
Victoria          83  57  85  64  86  /   0   0   0  10  10
Laredo            85  66  86  66  89  /   0   0   0  10  10
Alice             87  60  88  65  88  /   0   0   0  10  10
Rockport          85  68  85  72  85  /   0   0   0  10  10
Cotulla           85  62  86  62  87  /   0   0   0  10  10
Kingsville        88  61  88  67  88  /   0   0   0  10  10
Navy Corpus       86  69  85  73  86  /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

GH/77...AVIATION


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