Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 032033
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
333 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG THE COASTAL BEND WILL SLOWLY MOVE FURTHER
INLAND THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING OVER LAND.
EXPECT SIMILAR DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT OVER THE GULF WATERS AND
MOVING MORE INLAND WITH THE SEA BREEZE TOMORROW. NOT EXPECTING
QUITE AS MUCH COVERAGE AS THIS MORNING AS UPPER LOW SHIFTS FURTHER
SOUTH AND RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING BACK INTO THE AREA.
HOWEVER...WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE (PWAT VALUES 1.8-2.0
INCHES) ANTICIPATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG COASTAL
ZONES AS WELL. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL COME UP SLIGHTLY OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS...THOUGH AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE FAIRLY
SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...MOISTURE BECOMES MORE
LIMITED AND UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK...SO THE RAIN CHANCES BECOME ISOLATED AT BEST OVER THE EAST
(WITH NO RAIN MENTIONED OVER THE WESTERN AREAS). BECAUSE OF THIS...
CONFIDENCE IN RAIN IS NOT VERY HIGH ANYWAY...BUT AFTER SATURDAY HAVE
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION...IF ANY...OFFSHORE. MODELS ARE KEYING ON
SOME WEAK CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD (MAINLY
TUESDAY)...BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT IN THIS AS I ONLY SEE A SUBTLE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND NOT MUCH ELSE (GFS CAP IS WEAKER BUT ECMWF
CAP IS STILL STRONG). PREFER TO KEEP RAIN CHANCES EITHER IN THE GULF
OF AT BEST OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEAST. OTHERWISE...NOT TOO MUCH
CHANGES AS SUMMERTIME PATTERN CONTINUES. EXPECT MORE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN HIGHS OR
LOWS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    76  93  79  93  77  /  20  30  10  10  10
VICTORIA          74  93  75  94  74  /  20  30  10  20  10
LAREDO            76  99  78 101  78  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             74  96  77  97  74  /  20  20  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          79  90  80  91  80  /  20  30  20  20  10
COTULLA           75  98  76 101  77  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        76  95  78  97  76  /  20  30  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  89  81  90  80  /  20  30  20  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM
GW/86...LONG TERM


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