Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 312356
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
756 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 248 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

Moisture and instability remain a bit limited today. Isolated
convection firing now is a bit more widespread than the past couple
of days...but overall coverage not really any denser than expected.
Not much change to the overall upper-level and surface patterns
through tomorrow night...however as the remains of Bonnie continue
to creep away from the forecast area the models continue to show a
gradual increase in moisture and instability. This supports previous
forecast trend of increased coverage of...mainly diurnal...
convection Wednesday.

20

LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Extended forecast remains on track with frontal boundary
approaching the state late in the week on Thu with a general
increase in convective activity expected. However...the front
stalls through Friday as upper ridge builds in ahead of next
shortwave. It will not be until Sunday afternoon that this front
actually makes progress toward the forecast area. Timing looks on
target for portions of central Georgia to see max heating Sunday
afternoon prior to line arriving in the afternoon. Will need to
monitor strong to severe potential with subsequent forecasts for
the latter half of the weekend. No other changes to the extended
were made.

Deese

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Remaining isolated showers will continue to dissipate after
sunset. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are once
again expected Wednesday afternoon and evening...especially
between 18z and sunset. PROB30 covers this convective potential
Wednesday afternoon. Winds tonight into Wednesday morning are
forecast to originate as light and easterly before transitioning to
a light southwesterly direction by midday Wednesday.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

Medium confidence on wind direction. High on other elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  89  68  90 /  20  30  20  40
Atlanta         72  87  70  89 /  20  30  20  40
Blairsville     61  83  65  84 /  20  30  30  50
Cartersville    66  89  68  89 /  20  30  20  40
Columbus        71  93  71  91 /  20  30  20  30
Gainesville     69  86  69  88 /  20  30  30  40
Macon           69  92  69  92 /  20  30  20  30
Rome            65  90  67  89 /  20  30  20  40
Peachtree City  67  88  68  90 /  20  30  20  30
Vidalia         72  92  71  92 /  20  30  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...RW



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