Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 291428
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1028 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP LAYERED RIDGE HAS BUILT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
ATLANTIC...AS A RESULT...EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES ARE FRESHENING.
WINDS AT THE AREA C-MANS RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG THE
REEF...TO NEAR 15 KNOTS AT PULASKI SHOAL. THIS MORNING`S SOUNDING IN
NASSAU SAMPLED 22 KNOTS AT 2K FEET. FINALLY...UP STREAM CLOUD
ELEMENTS ACROSS THE CAY SAL BANK ARE MOVING AT NEARLY 20 KNOTS. THE
KEY WEST RAOB OBSERVATION...SATELLITE BASED SOUNDINGS...AND MIMIC TPW
LOOPS INDICATE A DRIER AND MORE INHIBITIVE ATMOSPHERE IS FILTERING
INTO THE FLORIDA KEYS. A FEW SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED WITHIN THE
CONVERGENT FLOW AHEAD OF THE INCREASING WINDS...BUT NOTHING
WIDESPREAD...NOR DEEP.

.FORECAST...WE ISSUED AN EARLIER UPDATE TO REMOVE THUNDER AND
INCREASE WINDS. EXPECT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS...SAVE FOR A FEW QUICKLY
MOVING MARITIME SHOWERS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY...AND TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE 90.

&&

.MARINE...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...RESULTING IN FRESH EASTERLY
BREEZES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. BREEZES MAY START TO DECREASE ON MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT.


&&

.AVIATION...UNTIL 00Z/30TH...OUTSIDE OF A BRIEF MVFR ENCOUNTER THIS
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREDOMINATE AT THE
KEY WEST AND MARATHON TERMINALS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 10
KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 15 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10
AND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

&&

.CLIMATE...ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...1977...3.29 INCHES
OF RAIN FELL AT KEY WEST. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD RAINFALL ON
AUGUST 29TH FOR KEY WEST. RAINFALL RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO
1871.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........CLR
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....APA
DATA COLLECTION.......CHESSER

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