Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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FXUS61 KLWX 222338
AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
738 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface and upper level high pressure will remain in place through
the weekend and into next week. Hurricane Maria is expected to
remain over the Atlantic well to our southeast through at least
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

Quiet weather will continue tonight, with the high cloud deck
gradually thinning. There may be some patchy fog in the favored
locations with light winds and falling temperatures, however
the clouds should limit density and coverage. Lows tonight in
the 50s and 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Warm and dry conditions will persist through the weekend under
continued ridging. Saturday should see mostly sunny skies with a few
high cirrus, with highs once again in the mid 80s. Lows Saturday
night in the 50s/60s, with patchy fog possible again.

Sunday will be even warmer under mostly sunny skies. 925 mb
temperatures of 22-24C should allow highs to reach the upper 80s,
with a few spot 90F readings possible as well. Mild conditions
Sunday night with lows only in the 60s/70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure at the surface and aloft will allow for dry
conditions over the region Monday and part of Tuesday. At the
same time Hurricane Maria will be moving north over the west
Atlantic Ocean Monday into Wednesday night or Thursday.
At this moment it is not expected that it will affect our area,
however it is possible we could get some external rainbands
Tuesday or Wednesday if it gets close enough. Please monitor
the National Hurricane Center`s website hurricanes.gov for more
information.

A cold front will move through our CWA either Wednesday night or
Thursday increasing the chance of showers over our area and pushing
Maria away from the US east coast. Dry conditions return behind it
later on Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Scattered to broken deck of high clouds expected through
tonight. Some patchy fog possible each night and early morning
(mainly CHO/MRB), otherwise, mainly VFR through the weekend.

VFR conditions expected Monday and Tuesday with high pressure
over our area. Some sub-VFR conditions possible later Tuesday
and Wednesday with maybe some showers around, but looking mostly
dry.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will allow for light winds around 10 knots or less
through the weekend.

No Small Craft Advisories expected between Monday and Tuesday
as wind gusts will be below criteria over our area. Wind gusts
increase Tuesday night and Wednesday with Hurricane Maria over
the west Atlantic Ocean.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Minor coastal flooding expected through this evening`s and
tonight`s high tide cycles at Annapolis (Anne Arundel) and
Straits Point (St. Mary`s). These advisories may need to be
extended further. Solomons Island (Calvert) and Washington (DC)
will also need to be closely monitored as levels are forecast
near, but below, their flood stage.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for MDZ014.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ017.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$
UPDATE...WOODY!
PREVIOUS...MM/IMR


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