Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 012318 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
618 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

SOME MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS SOME
LOW CIGS AND FOG WILL BE SEEN AT SOME SITES. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY
BE TRUE FOR THOSE AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN RAINFALL RECENTLY...OR ARE
NEAR FLOODED AREAS...WHERE FOG WILL BE MORE LIKELY.
OTHERWISE...CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LOW...WITH JUST
AN ISOLATED SHRA POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM ALOFT WAS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SYSTEM WAS TRIGGERING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS THE
REGION...BUT THAT IS ABOUT IT.

DURING THE NEAR TERM...THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY EXIT TO THE EAST.
IN THE MEANTIME...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD
OVER ARKANSAS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
DRY WEATHER AND NO CHANCE OF RAIN.

THERE WILL BE A SLOW WARMING TREND. TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF
BELOW NORMAL...BUT WILL RISE TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LONG TERM BEGINS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO OUR WEST AND
ARKANSAS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW. THE 12Z GFS AND THE 12Z ECMWF HAVE
BACKED OFF ON THE RAINFALL FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS WITH THE FRONT
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE ON SATURDAY. CONTINUED THE
PREVIOUS SHIFTS TREND OF KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE DUE
TO THE RECENT RAINFALL...HOWEVER HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL REMAIN
RIGHT AROUND NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     57  77  61  81 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         61  82  63  86 /  10  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       56  77  60  80 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  81  63  84 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  80  63  83 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     61  81  62  83 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  80  63  83 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  56  78  60  81 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        58  77  62  82 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     61  80  62  83 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   60  80  62  83 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         59  78  62  82 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      61  79  62  82 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62




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