Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 091123

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
623 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0248 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

The cold front that has been advertised for the past several days
has made its way to the Arkansas state line already this morning.
Elevated showers and a few isolated rumbles of thunder were
lagging behind the front early this morning. Instability remains
very limited and no severe weather is expected. Rainfall with the
storms has been limited to generally a quarter inch of less as the
showers move east as the front sags to the south. However, areas
up towards Truman Lake did see some training activity and received
closer to an inch of rainfall.

As the front moves through the area, a cooler air mass will
follow with afternoon highs today only climbing into the middle
60s to near 70. Skies will clear tonight with temperatures falling
into the 40s. This will bring the potential for fog to develop
overnight as the cool air mass moves over the wet ground from
today`s rainfall.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 0248 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

The pattern for this weekend through next weekend looks to be
under the influence of northwest flow aloft. With the exception of
a cold front Sunday night into early Monday that may bring a few
sprinkles to the area based on the GFS output, there are no
significant chances for rain until Friday or Saturday of next

A transient upper level ridge will move through the northwest
flow this weekend and allow temperatures to climb into the lower
80s by Sunday, but the Monday cold front will bring more
seasonable weather to the region for next week with daily highs in
the 70s.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 0618 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue across
southern Missouri through about mid-morning before beginning to
taper off. Scattered areas of MVFR can be expected across the
region with even some isolated pockets of IFR.

Skies will then clear off from mid to late afternoon with mainly
clear skies continuing through this evening. Surface winds will
remain northerly into early this evening below 12 knots.

Winds will then become light by mid-evening which will set the
stage for at least some patchy fog late tonight.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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