Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 240746
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240745
FLZ000-240945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0822
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0245 AM CDT Wed May 24 2017

Areas affected...Northern Florida

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 240745Z - 240945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...At least isolated thunderstorms remain possible this
morning, a few of which could be severe with a brief tornado or wind
threat. A watch could be considered if trends increase.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a weak boundary across northern
Florida, with slightly better theta-e to the south where
temperatures remained in the upper 70s. A small broken line of
thunderstorms has recently formed in this region, with signs of
midlevel rotation. Substantial southwesterly flow aloft already
exists across the region and this will increase today. As shear acts
upon these cells, it is not inconceivable that one or two could
become severe, with a brief tornado or wind threat.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 05/24/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   29808089 29258157 28948236 29008279 29268304 29788286
            30368175 30468132 30248093 29808089



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