Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 260731
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1231 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 115 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2015

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE
MONDAY.

OTHER THAN A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING,
SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA WITH NIL POPS.  SOME BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT BEHIND THE EXITING
SHORTWAVE.  MIXING WILL HELP HOLD MIN TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S.
WARM 850 TEMPERATURES, SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPE WINDS SHOULD HELP MAX
TEMPERATURES RISE TO AROUND 70 MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

THURSDAY...CLOUDINESS INCREASES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SHORTWAVE
RIDGING OVER THE AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S TO
AROUND 50 WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

FRIDAY...LOTS OF CLOUDINESS DURING THE DAY BEFORE DECREASING
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST AS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH. MAY SEE SOME LIGHT
SNOW SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE  FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE WARMING TEMPS
CHANGE ANYTHING OVER TO LIGHT RAIN. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS RAIN
POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE THEN SNOW AS
TEMPERATURES FALL TOWARD FREEZING. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S WITH LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SATURDAY...DECREASING CLOUDINESS WITH FORECAST AREA IN BETWEEN
UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND ANOTHER OFF THE
CALIFORNIA/MEXICO COAST. LITTLE AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF/GFS
REGARDING CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES SO NO CHANGES MADE TO EXTENDED
FORECAST PROCEDURE. HIGHS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW 40S
WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 20S.

SUNDAY...LITTLE AGREEMENT BETWEEN LONG RANGE MODELS WHICH MAKE FOR
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. ECMWF SHOWING 850MB TEMPERATURES OF -5C
TO -12C WHILE THE GFS SHOWING +11C TO +13C. NO CHANGES MADE TO
CURRENT FORECAST AND WILL GO WITH UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S FOR HIGHS
AND AROUND 30 FOR LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1104 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY
AND WILL BECOME LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST AFTER SUNSET MONDAY EVENING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...LOCKHART


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