Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 060926
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
326 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGES WILL BE HIGH TEMPS AND WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. SNOW PACK HAD LITTLE OR NO IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPS WEDNESDAY AS
TEMPS STILL MANAGED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 40S. WITH MOST OR ALL OF
THE SNOW PACK MELTED NOW...WILL STAY CLOSE OR GO ABOVE MOS GUIDANCE
TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH NO COMPLETELY RULING OUT POSSIBLE 60
DEGREE HIGHS TODAY...FEEL GFS MOS GUIDANCE MAY BE JUST A BIT TOO WARM
AND NAM MOS GUIDANCE DEFINITELY WAY TOO COOL. NORTHWESTERLY UPPER
FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY AS UPPER TROUGH EXITS
FURTHER EAST AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA. SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS IN
OVER THE PANHANDLES SATURDAY BEFORE BREAKING DOWN LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AS SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
MID/UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS...THEREFORE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY TEMP DIFFERENCE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...JUST
SLIGHTLY COOLER MONDAY. WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER FLOW BY THE MIDDLE AND
END OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
STATES AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL PLAINS STATES...WHILE
UPPER TROUGH AND DEVELOPING CLOSED UPPER LOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY SOUTHWEST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND BACK INTO WEST
TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLES DURING THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                57  26  61  32  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  60  26  65  30  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              57  25  59  29  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  58  29  62  36  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              59  25  62  31  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  56  25  59  31  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               54  27  60  34  62 /   0   0   0   5   5
DALHART TX                 58  22  60  28  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  61  25  63  30  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                58  24  59  31  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                58  26  65  33  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   56  28  60  35  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                52  27  60  34  62 /   0   0   0   5   0
WELLINGTON TX              54  28  60  35  63 /   0   0   0   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

05/11





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