Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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940
FXUS64 KHUN 031447 AAB
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
947 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.UPDATE...TO TWEAK HIGH TEMPERATURES AND REMOVE AFTERNOON POP.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT THAT PRODUCED SOME STRONG STORMS YESTERDAY CURRENTLY
STRETCHES FROM NEAR WINCHESTER (TN) SOUTHWEST THROUGH MARION COUNTY
(AL) THIS MORNING. QUITE A BIT OF PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS CAN BE
SEEN EAST OF I-65 IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW
THIS AREA OF LOWER CLOUDS CONTINUING IN SOME AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE
65 THROUGH AROUND 11 AM. ADJUSTED GRIDS AND FORECAST TO REFLECT THIS.
EXPECT MOST AREAS IN NORTHERN ALABAMA TO BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY AROUND
NOON AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...AS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES
ARE MET AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH ENOUGH FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD CLOUD DEVELOPMENT.

MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THEREFORE REMOVED
POP AFTER 11 AM...SINCE FORCING SHOULD BE SOUTH OF CULLMAN COUNTY BY
THEN. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BECOMES DRIER IN THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS...PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AROUND 10
DEGREES BELOW YESTERDAYS HIGHS...BUT ENOUGH INSOLATION EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65 SHOULD ALLOW HIGHS TO CLIMB INTO THE 71 TO 76 DEGREES
IN SOME AREAS. ELSEWHERE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES
LOOK LIKELY.

KTW

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 626 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/
FOR 12Z TAFS...
SCT/BKN CIGS BETWEEN 1000-2500FT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 14Z THIS
MORNING BEFORE LIFTING TO AROUND 4000FT. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR PRECIP AND HAVE
OPTED TO KEEP PRECIP OUT OF TAFS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE N/NW
TODAY WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.

STUMPF

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.



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