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000
FXUS64 KMAF 071945
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
145 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A secondary surge of Arctic air pushed into the CWFA this morning
and the cold surface ridge axis has nosed in from NE-SW. Low clouds
look to hold in for the rest of today, especially n of I-20 where
high temps will struggle to get out of teens. Low clouds will tend
to diminish overnight as low level winds veer to sw, although clouds
may be stubbornly slow to decrease across the far NW. Surface
cyclogenesis will commence Sunday INVOF SE CO in assocn with passing
mid level trof. This will help to move the cold surface high out of
the area and high temps will warm-up. Low level thermal ridge will
be oriented along I-10 and the warmest temps on Sunday will be
across the lower elevations of the Trans Pecos and srn PB, and of
course Rio Grande. Mid level winds will increase, but mixing
according to soundings is shallow and thus not as windy as it could
be in the plains. GDP Mtns will be close to high wind criteria and
gusty w-sw will push out into Eddy Co during the PM. Have opted to
issue a high wind watch in GDP Mtns for Sunday. Phasing nrn/srn
streams will favor another cold blast early Monday morning before
sunrise. Front looks to be dry, but post-frontal low clouds will
develop. We tend to favor cooler solutions verses warmer NAM12 (it
has done poorly over the last several days). Otherwise added light
snow across the n on Tue AM. Temp stay below normal thru Fri.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 12  50  21  28  /  10   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              15  48  22  29  /  10   0  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                21  56  29  35  /   0   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                  22  53  35  46  /  10   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           19  62  31  35  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          23  47  29  35  /   0   0   0  10
HOBBS NM                   14  50  25  29  /  10   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   14  59  25  45  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    15  52  24  28  /  10   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  14  52  23  27  /  10   0   0   0
WINK TX                    15  57  26  34  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.


&&

$$