Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 270627
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
227 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

The stalled front remains just to our south. This area of
moisture combined with typical sea breeze forcing will allow for
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. With drier air in SE
Alabama, convection should be limited to the FL zones and parts of
SW GA. PoPs will be 40-60% in these areas. Widespread cloud cover
will keep highs in the upper 80s.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday]...

Some drier air across the northern half of the area will tend to
suppress convection there through Wednesday with PoPs below
average for this time of year. However, there will still be
decent moisture and the seabreeze to support scattered afternoon
convection across the Florida panhandle and big bend as well as
adjacent areas of southern Georgia. By Thursday, deep layer
moisture is expected to increase with a return to seasonal
scattered convection areawide. High temperatures will generally
range from the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows mainly in the
lower 70s.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]...

Seasonal chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected to
continue each day through the period with PoPs in the 40-50% range.
scattered convection areawide. Seasonal temperatures are expected
as well with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and
overnight lows in the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...

[Through 06z Wednesday] MVFR cigs are expected at VLD after 10Z
this morning. Showers and thunderstorms are possible starting
around 16Z at TLH and VLD. Included PROB30 for these chances with
MVFR for reduced visibility in thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...

A typical summertime pattern will persist with daily chances of
showers and thunderstorms and low winds and seas outside of
thunderstorms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

There are no fire weather concerns as RH will stay above critical
thresholds for the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Most of our area rivers have receded in after a round of heavy rain
last week. A few points along the Choctawhatchee River remain in
action stage, but are not expected to rise to flood stage.
Scattered storms will be possible the next few days in the FL Big
Bend and south central GA, but rainfall totals will generally be
below an inch. No flooding is anticipated for the next several
days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   88  71  90  73  87 /  40  10  30  30  50
Panama City   86  74  84  75  84 /  30  10  30  30  50
Dothan        87  70  90  72  84 /  10   0  30  20  50
Albany        89  70  90  72  87 /  20   0  20  10  50
Valdosta      88  70  89  72  88 /  50  10  20  10  50
Cross City    86  71  89  72  88 /  60  30  50  20  50
Apalachicola  84  74  85  76  85 /  40  20  30  30  50

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Weston
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...Weston
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Weston
HYDROLOGY...Moore



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