Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
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807 FNUS73 KDLH 111144 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for Lenawax Rx...U.S.F.S. National Weather Service Duluth MN 644 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 11. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... Clear conditions to start out this morning will become increasingly cloudy by late afternoon as a system will bring rain showers and isolated thunderstorms for northwest Wisconsin. Precipitation onset may be delayed or only sprinkles to start out as the rain fights to overcome the dry air near the surface as minimum RH dips down to the mid to upper 20s. Nevertheless, showers and thunderstorms are expected in the vicinity of the burn site this evening and into overnight tonight. There will be a break in precipitation Sunday morning, but another round of precipitation is possible in the afternoon. Chances are currently slight, but could see a rain shower or thunderstorm in the early afternoon. Winds will also increase out of the northwest at 10-15 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 65. Min humidity........34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL decreasing to 4200 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph shifting to the west 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (52600-76100 knot-ft) decreasing to good (33900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC PC MC MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............58 60 62 63 63 64 RH..............47 41 36 34 35 35 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW W W SW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT wind gust.12 13 12 12 11 9 Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 6.9 7.1 6.7 5.8 4.2 Transp wind dir.N NW NW W W W Transp wind spd.13 13 12 10 10 9 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100065 76 71 61 53 34 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the evening, then chance of rain showers late in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2 until 0400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph late in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the south 9 to 17 mph in the evening and overnight, then shifting to the southwest around 15 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4200-14700 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 Temp............63 58 54 53 53 52 RH..............38 49 57 57 59 69 20 ft wind......S 5 SE 5 S 7 S 11 S 11 S 9 20 ft wind gust.9 11 14 22 23 20 Mix hgt (ft)....1800 500 500 500 600 600 Transport wind..SW 9 SE 10 S 13 S 16 SW 15 SW 15 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100015 4 5 7 8 8 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon. Slight chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1600, then 1. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 9 to 12 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon. Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest 14 to 20 mph late in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (8100-26900 knot-ft) increasing to good to excellent (58500-93700 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 1 Temp............52 57 64 68 71 71 RH..............71 64 54 43 36 34 20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 11 W 10 NW 9 NW 9 NW 11 20 ft wind gust.19 16 15 14 14 15 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1000 2100 3600 5100 5200 Transport wind..SW 16 SW 16 W 15 NW 16 NW 20 NW 20 Haines index....4 4 4 4 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/10008 14 27 50 88 88 $$ Forecaster...Krystal Requested by...Andrew Nelson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413756.0/DLH .DELDT 05/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL andrew.l.nelson@usda.gov