Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 190857
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...ADD MARINE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
355 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF FOG (SOME DENSE) ARE FOUND EARLY THIS MORNING FROM THE BAY
CITY AREA TO ANGLETON. EXPECT EVERYTHING TO LIFT AND BURN OFF AFTER
SUNRISE. THE REST OF THE DAY WILL BE QUIET WITH ONLY INCREASING CLOUD
COVER AS MOISTURE FROM A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING AROUND THE NORTHWEST
MEXICO AREA SPREADS THIS WAY. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ON THE RISE AS
THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST
UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW EJECTS
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS
THAT THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE TO OUR NORTH AND WEST...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WHEN SOME STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP (SEE SPC`S
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK). ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT THEN MOVES INTO THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE
STATE. DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AROUND MID
WEEK.

THE NEXT UPPER TROF THEN MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS DURING THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN TO
THE AREA STARTING ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND LOW RAIN CHANCES
COME BACK INTO THE FORECAST BEGINNING ON FRIDAY. NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS
LIKE IT MIGHT END UP BEING ON THE BREEZY SIDE.  42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1141 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA CURRENTLY. WE STILL LOOK ON TRACK
FOR SOME POSSIBLE RESTRICTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT KLBX AND KCXO.
CROSSOVER TEMPERATURE IS AROUND 53F AT BOTH SITES. LOOKS LIKE KCXO
WILL GET THERE NOT SURE ABOUT KLBX. THIS AFTERNOON UPPER LEVEL LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT THE AREA WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WEAK WHICH SHOULD
HELP TO KEEP WINDS TAME BUT WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW CIRRUS
WILL START TO COVER THE AREA. VFR EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. 23

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK. A WEAK
FRONT NEARING THE WATERS TUESDAY WILL MOST LIKELY WASH OUT INLAND...
TURNING MARITIME WINDS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN WINDS...PICK SEA HEIGHTS
UP A COUPLE OF FEET BY LATE WORK WEEK. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      80  59  80  62  81 /  10  10  10  20  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              80  60  81  63  81 /  10  10  10  20  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            76  64  77  67  77 /  10  10  10  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...31



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