Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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000
FXUS64 KHUN 010646
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
146 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

AT 06Z, TEMPERATURES WERE COOLING INTO THE L-M60S IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS OF SRN TN AND NERN AL, WITH U60S-L70S FOUND IN NWRN AL AND
URBAN AREAS. NORTHERLY BREEZES HAVE CALMED DOWN WITH A CLEAR-MOSTLY
CLEAR SKY OBSERVED ON SATELLITE. CI DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING TS WERE STREAMING EAST TOWARD THE MS RIVER BUT MAY TEND
TO THIN OUT WITH TIME.

A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER FORECAST IS FORESEEN THRU DAY 4 AS NWRLY FLOW
PERSISTS AND THE UPPER RIDGE 5H SITS ACROSS TX AND MIGRATES INTO THE
SWRN U.S. THE PATTERN THEN SUPPORTS SOME RAIN/TS POTENTIAL BY MID TO
LATE NEXT WEEK WITH A PASSING SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT. THE NEXT 2-3
DAYS SHOULD PROVIDE COMFORTABLE DAYTIME HUMIDITY VALUES WITH MAX
TEMPS STILL SEASONABLY HOT IN THE U80S-L90S. TUE MAY BE THE WARMEST
DAY BEFORE A SHORTWAVE TROF DRIVES EASTWARD THRU THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS. THE 00Z GFS IS A BIT SLOWER THAN THE 12Z ECMWF WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF THE SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE EVOLUTION OF
THE WAVE REMAINS UNCERTAIN, WITH SOME CONVECTIVE INFLUENCES IN THE
PLAINS TO SORT OUT. THUS, I`M NOT SOLD ON THE STRENGTH OF THE
DYNAMIC FIELDS JUST YET TO YIELD GREAT CONFIDENCE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL.
IN EITHER CASE, WILL STAY CLOSE TO SUGGESTED BLENDED GUIDANCE. THIS
BRINGS THE GREATEST POP ON THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

AK

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1218 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/
FOR 06Z TAFS...HIGH PRESSURE AND A FAIRLY DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL
PROVIDE FOR VFR CONDITIONS THRU THE FCST PERIOD FOR BOTH KMSL AND
KHSV.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    66  92  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
SHOALS        65  93  67  96 /   0   0   0   0
VINEMONT      67  91  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
FAYETTEVILLE  62  90  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
ALBERTVILLE   63  91  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
FORT PAYNE    59  91  61  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.


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