Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 252339
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
639 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.AVIATION...
Looking for a slow evolution for this next system with mid level
clouds expected to spill in from the west tonight. Skies becoming
mostly cloudy but vfr wx weather xpcd to hold.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...High pressure at the surface remains stretched from
the Atlantic across the northern gulf coast this afternoon while a
ridge aloft remains over the lower Mississippi Valley. This has
kept the the moist southeast flow in place with minimal rain
chances.

Through tonight and into Thursday the upper level ridge will
gradually shift east as an upper low moves across the southwest
states. With the upper ridge weakened and daytime heating in full
swing scattered storms can be expected by afternoon. Tomorrow pops
will be lowest across acadiana and higher in the East Texas Lakes
as the edge of the ridge straddles the area.

Friday and Saturday the upper trof will slowly push into the
plains. Upper disturbances will move across the region on the
south side of the larger trof pushing rounds of storms across
East Texas, Southern Arkansas, and Northwest Louisiana. Our region
will be generally on the edge of this activity, however a strong
to severe storm can not be ruled out ahead of these short waves as
the area will be moist and fairly unstable.

Late in the weekend and into early next week a upper ridge will
rebuild suppressing pops.

MARINE...A series of surface lows will move across the plains
through the next few days keeping the winds across the coastal
waters elevated, especially at night. Winds may approach sca
critiera by Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  74  85  73  86 /  10  50  30  40
LCH  74  85  73  85 /  10  30  20  40
LFT  74  87  73  86 /  10  30  20  30
BPT  75  85  75  84 /  10  30  30  40

&&

.LCH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION through Friday morning for GMZ450-
     452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$


K. Kuyper



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