Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 262308
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
508 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.AVIATION...
CLEAR SKIES WITH A DRY COLD FRONT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...VFR
EXPECTED. MAINLY WIND DIRECTIONAL CHANGES THIS EVENING WITH WSW
WINDS SLOWLY CHANGING TO W...AND NW POST COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE BY
06Z AT AEX...AND BY ~08Z FOR BPT/LCH/LFT/ARA. WINDS BECOMING MORE
NE ~10-12 KTS AFTER 15Z THU.

DML

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014/

SYNOPSIS...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE AREA
THIS EVENING BRINGING ANOTHER NIGHT WITH SEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. THANKSGIVING IS
LOOKING SUNNY AND RATHER COOL AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
WITH DIMINISHING WINDS THANKSGIVING NIGHT. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT IN SPOTTY AREAS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

SHORT TERM...WENT COOLER THAN GUIDANCE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE AREA THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON WHERE THE BEST COLD ADVECTION WILL
BE TAKING PLACE THANKS TO A LARGE SCALE AND DEEP UPPER TROF
AFFECTING THE ENTIRE EASTERN U.S.. DESPITE SUNNY SKIES, LOOKS LIKE TEMPS
WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S EAST OF THE SABINE RIVER.

LONG TERM...AFTER A COLD START EARLY FRIDAY, A WARMING TREND WITH
A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGES IN FROM THE EAST COAST. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT IN EURO
AND GFS MODELS ON SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT WHICH APPEARS TO WASH OUT ON OUR DOORSTEP BY TUESDAY.

MARINE...EXTENDED THE EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHERLY.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  42  58  34  63  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  43  61  39  65  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  38  55  33  62  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  41  59  36  63  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$






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