Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
FXUS65 KLKN 302144
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
244 PM PDT Thu Mar 30 2017
Strong front that moved across the region earlier today has mostly
pushed out of the area with snow filling in behind the front. The
upper level system responsible for this latest rash of weather
will linger through Friday as it slowly pushes east. Drier weather
returns for the weekend with a weak front possible Sunday
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday. Upper level system currently
over the state will be very slow to exit the area. As such, snow
potential will linger into Friday, mainly in the eastern portions
of the CWA. Additional amounts during the day on Friday will be
light with only a couple of inches of snowfall expected. By Friday
night, the system will completely exit the state.
In addition winds will remain strong across Northern Nye county
through Friday where Wind Advisories will continue. The strongest
and most dangerous winds will continue into this evening before
easing slightly late.
Saturday and Sunday. Ridge returns for the weekend with dry
conditions. A weak front could skirt the northern fringes of the
state but at this time would look to be no more than sprinkles or
a brief shower.
.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Thursday. The upper level
pattern is still progressive however it appears that the long term
period will be mostly dry, in between significant systems. Model
agreement is very good.
Sunday night through Monday. Models are showing a weak shortwave
moving through and developing over the Great Basin with some QPF
generation. Not much precipitation is expected however does look
convective. A small area of deformation pops up Sunday evening
where there is a merging H3 jet field over northeast Nevada. In
fact, even through Monday, the jet structure is little complicated
over eastern Nevada. High temperatures will only reach the 40s.
Low temperatures will range from the mid 20s to the mid 30s.
Monday night through Thursday. This entire period is in the dry
period between systems as high pressure rolls across the Great
Basin. A system will be on approach so it is possible to see some
showers developing across western Humboldt County by Thursday
afternoon, so will have a small mention of showers then. High
temperatures will be in the 40s Tuesday, then rise through the 50s
to around 60 degrees Wednesday and Thursday. Low temperatures
will generally be in the 20s Monday and Tuesday night, then in the
30s Wednesday night.
.AVIATION...Gusty winds are expected at KWMC KEKO KELY and KTPH
through Friday afternoon. Of particular concern will be strong
gusts at KTPH where wind gusts around 50 mph may last all night
and into tomorrow.
.HYDROLOGY...A storm system brought brief heavy rain to the area
and has caused rises in some of the smaller streams. The storm
also brought several inches of snow to the mountains. This will
result in some enhanced runoff in the upcoming days. In the
meantime, rather cool conditions on Friday will limit runoff into
creeks and streams.
Flood warnings are in effect for the following areas:
Bruneau River: Minor flooding.
Humboldt River - Battle Mountain: Moderate flooding continues.
Humboldt River - Comus: Moderate flooding continues.
All other monitored creeks and rivers are below minor flood stage.
River Statements have been issued for the following areas:
Humboldt River - Carlin
Humboldt River - Palisade
Marys River - near Deeth
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT Friday for Northern Elko
County-Ruby Mountains/East Humboldt Range.
Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for Northern Elko
County-Ruby Mountains/East Humboldt Range-South Central Elko
County-Southeastern Elko County-Southern Lander County and
Southern Eureka County-Southwestern Elko County-White Pine
Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for Humboldt County-
Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka County.
High Wind Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for Northeastern
Nye County-Northwestern Nye County.
Wind Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM PDT Friday for
Northeastern Nye County-Northwestern Nye County.