Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOHX 011435
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
935 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.UPDATE...FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

,DISCUSSION...

WITH AN MCS BEARING DOWN ON THE MID-STATE THIS MORNING AND THE
FACT IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS NOTHING TO STOP ITS CONTINUATION...
HAVE BUMPED POPS ACROSS MIDDLE TN ACCORDINGLY. AS THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE CLOSER TO MIDDLE TN...EXPECTATION IS FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. 1500-2000 J/KG CAPE VALUES AND THE MCS
CREATING ITS OWN SUSTAINABLE ENVIRONMENT OF BULK SHEAR VALUES IN
THE 30-35KT RANGE MEANS THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL WIND
THREAT...ALONG WITH HAIL AND PERIODS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IN SOME
OF THE STRONGER CELLS.

I ALSO ADDED A LITTLE RESOLUTION TO THE WX GRIDS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AS IT LOOKS LIKE WE WON`T BE
COMPLETELY BLANKETED WITH RAINFALL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WE
COULD GET A BRIEF RESPITE IN THE 9 PM TO 3 AM TIME FRAME BEFORE
ANOTHER MCS DEVELOPS UPSTREAM IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT AND HEADS
TOWARDS THE MID-STATE FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY.

UPDATES ARE OUT.

UNGER

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MID STATE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
FOR NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES TRANSIENT
WITHIN THE FLOW TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND TSTORMS JUST ABOUT ANYTIME
OF DAY OR NIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

27



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.