Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
FXUS64 KOUN 250201 AAA
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
901 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016
The heat advisory was allowed to drop at 8 pm this evening with no
current plans to extend into Monday right now.
A few storms developed in Northern and Southeast Oklahoma late
this afternoon/early evening. These storms, however, have
dissipated with the loss of heating. Additional showers and
storms are still possible across portions of the area
overnight/early Monday. The best opportunity will be with activity
that developed in the High Plains and Panhandles moving east into
the area. Overall, going forecast looks good with no major changes
but did make some minor tweaks to grids to better show current
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 711 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/
A front will drift slowly south into northern Oklahoma overnight
and bring a chance for rain and thunderstorms Monday. Increasing
moisture over southeastern Oklahoma will allow more thunderstorms
to develop there Monday. The stalled front across northern or
central Oklahoma Monday afternoon will likely be associated with
more thunderstorms later in the afternoon and evening.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 149 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/
A few mid level returns are still present on radar this afternoon
across portions of northwest OK, where a stationary boundary is
present. Could see some moist convection develop later this
evening across this region with the onset of LLJ and a mid to
upper trough axis moving through the plains. It appears the
boundary will become a little more focused by this time as well. A
few strong storms may try to nudge into northern OK with the main
threat being damaging winds.
Rain chances will continue to increase through tomorrow as mid
level perturbations rotate around the eastern periphery of the
ridge, and a mid to upper shortwave passes over southeast OK.
Temperatures will slowly begin to cool over the next several days
with our region becoming influenced by northerly flow as the ridge
continues to shift westward.
The highest rain chances will likely accompany numerous mid level
shortwave troughs moving within this flow by mid to late week.
There is now fairly decent agreement of one such wave moving into
OK Wed-Thu. The ECMWF and DGEX are still suggesting a surface
boundary lingering over us Thu and Fri as well.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 77 95 74 91 / 20 30 30 30
Hobart OK 77 99 74 93 / 10 30 30 30
Wichita Falls TX 79 99 75 95 / 10 20 30 20
Gage OK 73 95 71 92 / 40 40 30 30
Ponca City OK 76 93 73 91 / 40 40 40 30
Durant OK 77 95 76 94 / 20 50 30 20