Area Forecast Discussion
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950
FXUS61 KPBZ 020402
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1202 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF CROSSING DISTURBANCES WILL MAINTAIN DAILY RAIN CHANCES
THIS WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
THE MIDNIGHT UPDATE FEATURED ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TRENDS BASED ON
OBS...RADAR...AND HIGH RES MDLS. A CROSSING SHORTWAVE WILL SPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE IS PROGGED TO DIG RAPIDLY NEWD TODAY WITH RAIN
COVERAGE INITIALLY DIMINISHING RAPIDLY WITH PROGRESS. HOWEVER...A
TRAILING DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO REIGNITE SHOWERS AGAIN BY
TNGT...ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF THAT PCPN SHOULD BE FOCUSED SEWD.

SOME SHOWERS WILL LINGER TUESDAY...BUT THE REGION SHOULD BE DRY
BY EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO DVLP OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER RAIN CHANCE
FOR THE UPR OH REGION.

WITH PERSISTENT CLOUDS AND PRECIP CHANCES...TEMPERATURE WAS
FORECAST AT...OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT A LARGE TROUGH WILL
SETUP OVER THE EASTERN CONUS DURING THE PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP THE
AREA COOL AND UNSETTLED INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRATUS AND FOG RESTRICTIONS N-E OF PIT SHOULD CONTINUE THIS MRNG
WITH LOW LVL MOISTURE IN PLACE. OTHERWISE...DETERIORATION TO MVFR
AND OCNL IFR IS EXPECTED ERLY THIS MRNG AS ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE
RESULTS IN SHOWERS AND SCT TSTMS THRU ARND SUNRISE. AN UPR TROF
SHOULD MAINTAIN MVFR CONDITIONS THRU LATE MRNG/ERLY AFTN BEFORE A
RETURN TO VFR IS EXPECTED. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE RETURNS MVFR
RESTRICTION POTENTIAL THIS EVE ESP FOR PORTS S OF PIT.

.OUTLOOK /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
PERIODIC RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WED THRU FRI WITH THE PASSAGE OF
A COLD FRONT AND SUBSEQUENT UPR TROFG.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$
15/07



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