Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 011920
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
220 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 220 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

Very slow moving closed stacked low was located over Indiana with
cyclonic flow continuing into the CWA around the low. Stratus
shield still covering northeast 1/3 of the CWA with more scattered
cloud cover across the remainder of the CWA. Some showers were
occuring well to the south in association with an embedded
disturbance across OK and AR. The cloud cover was keeping
temperatures in the 60s across the northeast CWA, but has warmed
into the low to mid 70s where the cloud cover is more scattered.

Main forecast focus will be with temperatures until the middle of
the week as the next system arrives.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

For tonight, we have thrown in some more patchy fog. Conditions
will be similar to last night with cross over temperatures being
reached overnight. Expecting lows in the low to mid 50s tonight.

On Sunday, a weak distubance may bring some showers to portions of
eastern MO during the afternoon. Have bumped up pops to 14
percent, but left QFP at zero for now.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

Upper low finally lifts out on Sunday, while the next low begins
to push inland on the west coast. This system will be tracking
east into the plains by Tuesday night with most of the initial
convection expected around the frontal system. Some jet energy
will aid in convection across the area from late Tuesday night
until Friday night when the main upper wave will track across the
area. Models are showing another cool/dry air mass moving in
behind the system for next weekend.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

Nice flying weather can be expected through this evening across
the Ozarks with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies.
Overnight, MVFR fog is expected to develop across the region the
the combination of light and variable winds and clear skies allows
for fog formation. The fog will being to burn off quickly after
sunrise Sunday however, with conditions improving to VFR around by
15z.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Hatch



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